Month: January 2025

NFC Rumors: Bucs, Safeties, Vikings, Cowboys

With uncertainty at the back of their defense, the Buccaneers are targeting safeties in the draft, tweets Bleacher Report analyst Matt Miller. The team brought in Louisville’s Gerod Holliman for a visit today, and Arizona State’s Damarious Randall will trek to Tampa on Monday.

Both are projected to be selected in the middle rounds of the draft.

The Bucs traded both of their 2014 starting safeties in Mark Barron and Dashon Goldson and now do not have much financial allocation at that spot.

Elsewhere around the NFC on Sunday night …

  • The dearth of quality safeties available in this year’s draft could be explained by the position being a second-tier destination for premier athletes, writes Dave Spadaro of PhiladelphiaEagles.com. Since coaches at the high school and college levels funnel the fast, rangy athletes to the perimeter playmaking positions, the back line may be the second-hardest place behind quarterback to find talent, offers Spadaro. The Eagles have been searching for stability there since All-Pro Brian Dawkins left in 2009, but Malcolm Jenkins‘ 2014 arrival helped considerably. Spadaro said Earl Wolff, recovering from microfracture surgery, will have a good shot at the unsettled strong safety job, with second-year corner Jaylen Watkins and recently signed E.J. Biggers set to receive looks there as well.
  • Minnesota running back David Cobb has drawn the interest of the local NFL team, visiting the Vikings this past week, reports Darren Wolfson of KSTP on Twitter. The Vikings will obviously be at the Golden Gophers’ pro day tomorrow, and Cobb — projected to go in the mid- to late rounds after a 1,626-yard season in 2014 — will be a key performer they’ll observe.
  • Miller does not expect Amari Cooper to be Washington‘s pick at No. 5, instead anticipating a defender heading to D.C. (Twitter link). ESPN’s Todd McShay and Mel Kiper each have Florida defensive end Dante Fowler Jr. going to Washington.
  • Cornerbacks Marcus Peterson and Kevin Johnson top the list of potential targets for the Cowboys at No. 27, according to Jon Machota of the Dallas Morning News. Machota clearly expects defense to be the priority here, as he includes Texas defensive tackle Malcom Brown, UConn workout wonder Byron Jones and UCLA linebacker Eric Kendricks in his top five for the Cowboys.

Adrian Peterson Resolution Coming Soon?

Adrian Peterson‘s offseason in the shadows could come to an end this week, with the All-Pro running back eligible for reinstatement Wednesday.

While the best thing for Peterson is probably a new uniform, Matt Vensel of the Minneapolis Star-Tribune envisions him back in Minnesota as the Vikings believe he has one more productive season in him.

After what amounted to a year off, Peterson is an interesting trade candidate despite being 30 and the running back position’s cratering value. He’s third among all active runners in career carries with 2,054 — behind longer-tenured veterans Steven Jackson and Frank Gore — but produced the best rushing season of the 21st century in 2012 the last time he uncertainty engulfed his offseason. Peterson’s 6.0 yards per carry during his MVP campaign represent one of only four such instances since the AFL-NFL merger a running back who exceeded 200 carries in a season gained more than six yards per tote, joining Jamaal Charles in 2010, O.J. Simpson in 1973 and Barry Sanders in 1997. Only one full season worth of carries separated from that performance, Peterson will be a commodity as the draft approaches, putting the onus on the Vikings.

Vensel believes Peterson is worth more than just a first-round pick but doesn’t think the Vikings can pry one from a team, with Peterson’s salary ($15.4MM cap hit in 2015) dwarfing other RBs’ costs. But CBS Sports’ Joel Corry said the window to extract peak value is approaching soon. The Cardinals and Cowboys have been the most rumored potential suitors.

It would probably happen while on the clock because that’s when you might get a team that’s willing to give up more than they would previously,” Corry told Vensel. “You’d think [the Vikings] would want a 2015 draft pick, so if you’re going to see something get done, talks will heat up close to the draft or he will be traded during the draft.

It’s kind of a buyer-beware proposition for Peterson going forward. But if there’s a running back that is going to defy odds, he’s it.”

But Peterson’s contract contains no guaranteed money after 2015, and Vensel points out a redo of his deal to ensure a guaranteed sum is included beyond this season would be the best way to reverse the future Hall of Famer’s current feelings toward his employer.

Vensel also points out the Vikings, whose brass have stood firm on their no-trade stance regarding their most famous player, have wavered from their trade comments in recent offseasons. The Percy Harvin in 2013 trade came after Vikings GM Rick Spielman initially said he wouldn’t do so.

‘Hawks Still Negotiating With Tarvaris Jackson

The Seahawks are still working on a long-term extension with Russell Wilson, but as Mike Florio of Pro Football Talk writes, the club still doesn’t have a solid backup in place behind the fourth-year quarterback. Tarvaris Jackson has served as Seattle’s No. 2 signal-caller for the past two seasons, and while he and the team have been discussing a new deal, Florio reports that two sides have had trouble determining his value.

The 31-year-old Jackson earned $1.25MM in 2014, which was right around the middle of the pack in terms of backup quarterbacks. But as Florio notes, Wilson’s salary is expected to rise dramatically in 2015, meaning Seattle will have to cut costs at certain positions, and No. 2 QB might be one area where they could look to find some savings. But if the Seahawks want to look internally for a Jackson replacement, they might be out of luck. Besides Wilson, the only other quarterbacks on the roster are B.J. Daniels, a former seventh-round pick and practice squader, and R.J. Archer, who has spent most of his pro time on CFL and AFL rosters.

If Seattle isn’t able to reach an agreement with Jackson, they could look to the free agent market to find a new reserve QB. Interestingly, former Hawk Matt Flynn is available, though I doubt Flynn, who was ultimately traded after losing the starting job to Wilson, would want to return to Seattle. Florio posits that Michael Vick would be an intriguing add for the Seahawks, as he possesses the same sort of mobility that Wilson does, while I would add that fellow FA Tyler Thigpen also has had success as a running quarterback.

Jackson attempted just one pass in 2014 (a completion), but he’s started 34 games during his nine-year career, so he would offer valuable experience in the event Wilson was injured. The Alabama State alum visited the Dolphins last month before they re-signed Matt Moore, and was reportedly discussed internally by the Eagles.

Dolphins Assessing Cornerback Options

Since losing Sean Smith to the Chiefs prior to the 2013 season, the Dolphins have struggled to find a corner to play opposite Brent Grimes. Now that free agent bust Cortland Finnegan has been released, Miami’s top options at its No. 2 CB spot are third-year pros Jamar Taylor and Will Davis, neither of whom inspire much confidence. As such, the club could look to the draft to fill its corner void, and Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald reports that the Dolphins will meet with Trae Waynes (Michigan State), Jalen Collins (LSU), and Kevin Johnson (Wake Forest), all of whom are potential first-round picks.

Along with the previously-reported visit of CB/S Eric Rowe (a projected second-rounder), Miami will have used four of their 30 allotted prospect visits on cornerbacks. Per Jackson, the Dolphins view free agent signee Brice McCain purely as a nickel corner, where he’ll replace Jimmy Wilson. Therefore, with Taylor and Davis both recovering from injuries, a first-round cornerback would presumably be asked to step into the starting lineup immediately.

The Dolphins have spent the offseason trying to upgrade their secondary — they were reportedly the runner-up in the Buster Skrine sweepstakes, while they’ve also expressed interest in potentially-available Eagles CB Brandon Boykin (though Boykin, like McCain, is primarily a slot corner, so there wouldn’t seem to be a role for him in Miami). If the Fins fail to use a draft pick on a cornerback, they could turn to the free agent market, which while relatively barren, still has some veteran options like former 49er/Raider Tarell Brown.

For his part, Jackson believes the Dolphins will ultimately use the 14th overall pick on either a corner or a wide receiver, as the club has used quite a few of its draft visit quota on those two positions. On a similar note, James Walker of ESPN.com looked this morning at whether it would make sense for Miami to trade down and acquire more draft picks.

Free Agent Stock Watch: Dwight Freeney

Using the 2015 franchise tag figures as a gauge, it’s evident that edge defenders are considered, and compensated as, one of the most important position on the field, second only to quarterbacks. While the QB franchise number for the upcoming season is set at $18.544MM, the figure for pass rushers (which I determined by averaging the franchise salaries for defensive ends and liDwight Freeneynebackers) will be $13.854MM.

The need for high-quality edge defenders was borne out in free agency, where the best available rushers garnered top-end contracts. Jerry Hughes signed a five-year, $45MM pact to stay with the Bills, the Bears handed Pernell McPhee $38.75MM to lure him away from Baltimore, and Brandon Graham was retain by the Eagles on a four-year, $26MM deal. The market for rushers (and defenders as a whole) is mostly picked over now that we’re a month removed from the beginning of free agency, but there are a few options still remaining, one of whom is veteran LB/DE Dwight Freeney.

Entering his age-35 season, Freeney obviously isn’t the player he once was during his prime when the Colts, with whom he averaged 10 sacks per year from 2002-12 (including a league-leading 16 in 2004). But the Syracuse alum still has a lot to offer on the football field, including the ability to stand up and play outside linebacker, the position he manned during the past two seasons in San Diego. Freeney didn’t rack up the same gaudy sacks totals with the Chargers that he did with Indianapolis — he posted just four total sacks from 2013-14 — but a deeper look his statistics shows that he’s still capable of affecting an opposing club’s passing attack.

Freeney played on approximately 55% of San Diego’s defensive snaps last year, rushing the passer or defending the run on nearly every play (he saw just 14 coverage snaps). While he accrued just 3.5 sacks, he placed third among qualifying 3-4 OLBs with 40 quarterback hurries, and 14th with nine QB hits — as such, he graded as the sixth-best at his position in terms of pass-rush productivity, an all-encompassing metric from Pro Football Focus (subscription required) that seeks to measure a defender’s total pressure output. Subscribing to Josh Norris of Rotoworld’s theory that “disruption is production” — in other words, sack totals aren’t the only way to judge a pass rusher — it’s clear that Freeney has quite a bit left to offer.

Unlike the other edge rushers mentioned above, Freeney shouldn’t require a multi-year deal or any significant amount of guaranteed money. That might seem like an odd statement given his production last season, but given his advanced age, and the fact that he’s yet to draw any known interest since announcing his intention to play this season on March 2, it seems like Freeney will have to end up accepting a one-year deal with minimal risk attached for the team.

Freeney, a three-time All Pro, is coming off a contract that paid him nearly $4.5MM annually (though he eventually accepted a pay cut from the Chargers), but he probably won’t be able to match that figure again. Fellow OLB Sean Weatherspoon recently signed a one-year, $3.875MM pact with the Cardinals, and while Weatherspoon does have a lengthy injury history to account for, he’s also eight years younger than Freeney. As such, I’d guess that something like $3MM over one year, perhaps with some incentives available, would be a fair deal for Freeney.

There a quite a few teams that could use a situational rusher like Freeney, and because he has experience both with his hand in the ground and standing up, I wouldn’t think he’d be limited to one scheme. That versatility could prove handy, especially for clubs that like to mix up their defensive fronts. One such team, the Patriots, always seem to be able to coax out the last bit of production from veteran players, so Freeney could be a fit in New England. Elsewhere, the Falcons, Packers, Bengals, Bears, and Chiefs all finished among the bottom-10 in adjusted sack rate, and might be interested in adding edge talent. For his part, Peter King of TheMMQB.com opined last month that the Buccaneers could also be a possible fit, while I recently suggested another NFC South club, the Panthers, could find a bargain in Freeney.

One club that won’t be signing Freeney is the Chargers, as general manager Tom Telesco told Freeney in March that San Diego wouldn’t be retaining him. Personally, I find that a bit surprising, as San Diego’s pass rush was nothing special last season — the team finished 29th in sacks and 20th in adjusted sack rate. Following the retirement of Jarret Johnson, the Chargers don’t have much depth at outside linebacker, so unless they’re especially high on 2013 sixth-round pick Tourek Williams (the projected starter at LOLB), I’m confused as to why San Diego wouldn’t welcome Freeney back.

One reason that could help explain why Freeney remains unsigned is that free agent contracts are still tied compensatory draft picks for another month. In the past, the cutoff date for draft pick compensation was June 1, but the league recently moved that deadline up to May 12. Based on Zack Moore of Over the Cap’s calculations, Miles Austin‘s $2.3MM deal with the Browns is currently the least-expensive contract tied to a compensatory pick. So if Freeney is asking for the ~$3MM that I estimated for him, interested clubs might be wary of possibly forfeiting the chance at a comp pick to sign him (even if that pick will only be a sixth- or seventh-rounder). As such, we’ll probably have to wait until after that May 12 date so see Freeney (and other veterans like him) find new homes.

Like I noted when I profiled fellow free agent Brandon Spikes, I think NFL teams are wise to focus on what a player can do, instead of what he can’t do. Spikes is out of his element in pass coverage, but he’s an effective run defender when given the chance. Freeney is 35 years old and needs to have his playing time monitored, but as a part-time pass rusher who sees 35 snaps per game, he can still be highly productive. A club could do much worse than to hand Freeney $3MM or so and insert him into it’s edge defender rotation.

PFR Originals: 4/5/15 – 4/12/15

The original content produced by the PFR staff during the past week:

Week In Review: 4/5/15 – 4/12/15

The headlines from the past week at PFR:

Key News:

2016 Fifth-Year Options:

Extended:

Restricted Free Agency:

Signed/Re-Signed:

Suspended:

Sunday Roundup: NFC North, ‘Fins, 49ers

Golf takes its yearly ascent to the forefront of many sports fans’ minds today, but before the battle for the Green Jacket begins, let’s take a look at some links from around the NFL:

  • The Packers are one of the teams that do not announce which prospects they will bring in for their allotted 30 pre-draft visits, but Rob Demovsky of ESPN.com provides a list of players–compiled by ESPN and other outlets–that have visited, or will visit, with Green Bay.
  • The Lions need a new tailback after losing Reggie Bush to free agency, but Kyle Meinke of MLive.com says the team is not targeting a specific type of runner; speed, power, and hybrid backs are all on the table.
  • Dan Wiederer of The Chicago Tribune examines the pros and cons of drafting one of this year’s elite wide receiver prospects, which the Bears have the opportunity to do with the No. 7 overall selection.
  • There is a deep class of cornerbacks for the Ravens to choose from in this year’s draft, writes Clifton Brown of CSNBaltimore.com. In addition to wide receiver, the secondary is a major area of concern for Baltimore.
  • James Walker of ESPN.com wonders if the Dolphins should trade up from their No. 14 overall pick in the draft to land one of this year’s elite receivers or linebackers, and he lists the costs and benefits of such a move. Walker ultimately notes (via Twitter) that Miami has too many holes and too few draft picks to consider trading into the top 10.
  • After acquiring Jeron Johnson and Dashon Goldson over the past couple of weeks, Tarik El-Bashir and Rich Tandler of CSNWashington.com wonder if Washington should nonetheless invest an early-round pick in a safety, which has been a weakness for the team in recent seasons.
  • The Eagles brought in Penn State offensive tackle Donovan Smith for a visit, writes Aaron Wilson of The Baltimore Sun.
  • Despite losing Frank Gore to free agency, the 49ers have a talented pair of running backs in Carlos Hyde and Reggie Bush, and as Cam Inman of The San Jose Mercury News observes, Kendall Hunter will return to the field following an ACL tear that ended his 2014 season before it started. San Francisco’s roster also includes Jarryd Hayne, a former Australian rugby star who is trying to “convert” to American football and is expected to compete as a return specialist and possibly a backup running back. As Josh Alper of Pro Football Talk writes, all of the team’s rushing talent suggests that the 49ers will continue to be among the league leaders in rushing attempts, as they have been in each of the past four seasons.

Ravens Face Major WR Concerns

Ravens GM Ozzie Newsome is widely regarded as one of the best executives in the NFL. He has overseen two Super Bowl titles, a handful of division titles, and since John Harbaugh was hired and Joe Flacco was drafted in 2008, Baltimore has made the playoffs six times, advanced to the AFC Championship on three occasions, and captured one Lombardi Trophy.

But even the best general managers have their Achilles’ heel, and Newsome’s biggest weakness is his ability to draft a capable wide receiver. Torrey Smith was easily the best receiver Newsome has drafted, and although Smith certainly was a key contributor to the Ravens’ recent success, he is far from a No. 1 target. Baltimore’s willingness to let Smith walk in free agency this year speaks volumes about the team’s faith in him–though the Ravens’ tight salary cap situation was also a major factor in that decision–and very few of the receivers the team has drafted have gone on to become impact players.

As a result, the Ravens have increasingly turned to veterans like Derrick Mason, Anquan Boldin, and Steve Smith, Sr. to fill the void. Given the quality performances of those players, many believed that the Ravens would pursue another veteran this offseason. But the team probably could not have afforded first-tier options like Jeremy Maclin and Randall Cobb, and it has shown little to no interest in the next tier of free agents, which includes players like Michael Crabtree and Hakeem Nicks (though the Ravens reportedly were interested in Mike Wallace if the Dolphins had released him).

Baltimore therefore looks prepared to head into the draft with a capable but aged Steve Smith and a host of talented but largely unproven players like Michael Campanaro, Kamar Aiken, and Marlon Brown. All of those players, Smith included, are possession receivers and do not really have the ability to stretch a defense like Torrey Smith, or even Jacoby Jones, did.

But as Mike Preston of The Baltimore Sun points out, there will most likely be big-play talent on the board when the Ravens are on the clock with their No. 26 overall selection. Indeed, players like Jaelen Strong, Devin Smith, and Dorial Green-Beckham may all be on the board. The problem is that Newsome’s track record as it pertains to wide receivers works against him, and his strict adherence to the best player available approach suggests the team may not even take a wideout in the first several rounds. The front office, in addition to hyping the players already on the roster, has noted that this year’s class is a deep one, with a lot of talent available throughout the draft.

Those words may not be reassuring to Ravens fans, who vividly remember the team trading Boldin after winning the Super Bowl in 2012 and going into 2013 with Torrey Smith and a lot of question marks. In addition to poor offensive line play, the lack of receiving depth doomed the 2013 campaign and led to the Ravens’ missing the playoffs for the only time in the Harbaugh/Flacco era.

Newsome, who spoke about learning from his past mistakes in terms of drafting receiving talent, has assuredly learned from his 2013 missteps as well. As such, if the Ravens do not land one of the top receivers in this year’s draft, one would think that the team would target one of the remaining free agent options, or perhaps try to trade for someone like Pierre Garcon. But until that happens, the Ravens’ lack of proven receiving talent–the team also has major question marks at tight end, given that Crockett Gillmore is currently at the top of the depth chart–represents one of the few glaring holes on an otherwise talented roster. And Newsome will have to buck past trends in order to fill that hole.

More Mailbags: Draft, G. Johnson, Pagano

There are an increasing number of mailbags as we get closer to the draft, so let’s round up a few more:

  • ESPN’s Jeff Dickerson looks at two top defensive line prospects the Bears could target in the first round of the draft, Shane Ray and Danny Shelton. Dickerson believes that Shelton, who is more of a two-down player, would be a good choice for the Bears if they were to trade back in the draft, but Chicago would be reaching if it took him with the No. 7 overall pick. Although Ray would need to adjust to playing outside linebacker after lining up primarily as a 4-3 defensive end in college, Dickerson believes the Bears would do well to add the elite pass rusher with their first selection.
  • A number of publications have mocked Florida State offensive lineman Cameron Erving to the Browns, and Tony Grossi of ESPNCleveland.com–who did the same thing in his own mock draft–says there’s a good reason for that. Erving is the best center in the draft, and he also projects favorably at guard. Grossi writes that Erving is the only offensive lineman the Browns should consider in the first two rounds.
  • The Lions also have big needs on the offensive and defensive lines, and Michael Rothstein of ESPN.com writes that it would not be a surprise to see the team address those areas in the early rounds of the draft. In a separate mailbag, Rothestein believes the team should let George Johnson leave for the Buccaneers, who recently signed the defensive lineman to an offer sheet.
  • David Newton of ESPN.com believes that Washington’s Shaq Thompson, one of the best athletes in this year’s draft class, would be the ideal player for the Panthers to groom as an outside linebacker behind Thomas Davis. Speaking of Davis, Newton reiterates his belief that Carolina will get an extension done with the 32-year-old before the season begins, which, along with the planned long-term deal for Cam Newton, would require the team to somehow lower Charles Johnson‘s $20MM+ cap number.
  • Mike Wells of ESPN.com examines whether or not the Colts will–or should–offer a long-term extension to head coach Chuck Pagano.