Top 3 Offseason Needs News & Rumors

Top 3 Offseason Needs: Pittsburgh Steelers

In advance of March 14, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Pittsburgh Steelers, who went 13-3 and finished with their best record in 13 years. But their season turned on a controversial call and a frightening injury, leading to a disappointing home playoff defeat in Round 2. The Steelers are still one of the NFL’s best teams, however, and their Super Bowl window continues to stay open.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2018:

  1. Ben Roethlisberger, QB: $23,200,000
  2. Antonio Brown, WR: $17,675,000
  3. Stephon Tuitt, DE: $13,600,000
  4. Cameron Heyward, DE: $12,456,250
  5. Joe Haden, CB: $11,916,666
  6. David DeCastro, G: $10,780,000
  7. Maurkice Pouncey, C: $10,551,000
  8. Ryan Shazier, LB: $8,718,000
  9. Mike Mitchell, S: $8,135,418
  10. Alejandro Villanueva, T: $7,625,000

Other:

  • Projected cap space (via Over the Cap): $2,697,525
  • 28th pick in draft
  • Must exercise or decline 2019 fifth-year option for LB Bud Dupree

Three Needs:

1) Find a way to replace Ryan Shazier: Coming in a nationally televised game, Shazier’s injury provided one of the scariest moments in recent NFL history. The Steelers lost their best linebacker and one of their cornerstone players during a season that saw them boast an NFL-high eight Pro Bowlers. But they still finished behind the Patriots in a high-stakes race for the AFC’s No. 1 seed. The franchise is going to need more help at linebacker, with Shazier facing a more important battle than merely returning to an NFL field.

Shazier was a staple in a Heinz Field suite down the stretch for the Steelers, who rallied around their ailing inside linebacker. Shazier’s been released from the hospital and is now walking with assistance, receiving a standing ovation at a Pittsburgh Penguins game after standing up on his own.

These are important strides for the 25-year-old defender, and it looks like he’s making steady progress. But football will probably be a secondary concern at this juncture, with a return presumably not happening in 2018. The Steelers are going to need to find a replacement for one of their best players, with their defense — as evidenced in the Jaguars’ 45-point divisional-round showing — needing far more help than the offense.

From a football perspective, Pittsburgh’s need for linebackers is curious.

The franchise has used a first-round pick on a linebacker in four of the past five drafts, but of those, only Shazier and T.J. Watt have panned out. The jury being out on Bud Dupree entering Year 4 may not make his fifth-year option an open-and-shut decision, and the 2015 first-rounder’s status makes both linebacker spots in need of supplementation. But Dupree will be on the field for the Steelers next season; Shazier probably won’t, illustrating the need for inside help.

Pittsburgh’s run defense caved in without Shazier. Five of the Steelers’ final six opponents surpassed 100 ground yards, the Jags’ 164 damaging the franchise’s hopes of parlaying its first bye in seven years into at least a return to the AFC title game. The Steelers used three of those aforementioned first-round picks on pass-rushing outside players, with only Shazier being brought in to fortify the inside. Vince Williams established himself as a capable starter following Lawrence Timmons‘ departure, but he will need a running mate next season.

The franchise has obviously shown no fear of using high picks on linebackers, but could its recent draft history here induce a rare foray into free agency’s upper echelon? Pittsburgh does not, however, have much cap space — and that’s without Le’Veon Bell on its books.

With the Broncos expected to pursue Kirk Cousins and already having plenty of veteran defender deals on their books, Todd Davis seems likely to hit the market like Wesley Woodyard and Danny Trevathan did before him. Davis displayed improvement in his second season as a starter and will be a coveted talent if/once available. However, he graded as a poor coverage ‘backer during his two seasons as a Denver starter.

A four-year starter with the Titans, Avery Williamson will also be a sought-after commodity. The former fifth-round pick graded as Pro Football Focus’ No. 10 non-rush ‘backer last season. He displayed top-flight run-defense last season, it’s likely he will be a well-paid defender come mid-March. Williamson also has 11.5 career sacks despite playing his entire career as a 3-4 inside man.

The Redskins could become the third straight Zach Brown employer to let him reach free agency, a route the Titans initially took in 2016. The sides are already negotiating, however. The Raiders aren’t a lock to retain NaVorro Bowman, although considering their troubles at linebacker in recent years, they will likely make a serious effort to do so before the market opens.

Would the Steelers consider Timmons at a reduced rate? The Dolphins are expected to cut the soon-to-be 32-year-old, free of charge thanks to his September suspension, and PFF rated the longtime Steeler as nearly as good of a coverage player as Williams. Neither is on Shazier’s level, however. He will not be easy to replace.

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Top 3 Offseason Needs: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

In advance of March 14, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who failed to live up to preseason expectations and finished with a 5-11 record.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2018:

  1. Mike Evans, WR: $13,258,000
  2. Gerald McCoy, DT: $12,750,000
  3. DeSean Jackson, WR: $11,000,000
  4. Lavonte David, LB: $8,750,000
  5. Jameis Winston, QB: $8,066,315
  6. Doug Martin, RB: $6,750,000
  7. William Gholston, DE: $6,500,000
  8. Robert Ayers, DE: $6,000,000
  9. J.R. Sweezy, G: $5,875,000
  10. Chris Baker, DT: $4,875,000

Other:

  • Projected cap space (via Over the Cap): $61,478,282
  • Seventh pick in draft
  • Must exercise or decline 2019 fifth-year option for QB Jameis Winston

Three Needs:

1) Find a new running back: It’s difficult to overstate just how poor Doug Martin played in 2017. Among the 36 running backs who handled at least 125 carries last season, Martin finished dead last with a paltry 2.94 yards per rush. Pro Football Focus ranked Martin as the No. 53 RB among 58 qualifiers, while the 29-year-old placed last among backs in Football Outsiders‘ DVOA metric, which measures value on a per-play basis. Martin caught only nine passes a year ago, but even on a per-pass basis, he was well below-average, as FO ranked him 25th in receiving DVOA among the 30 RBs who managed fewer than 25 targets.Doug Martin (vertical)

Martin took the most touches of any Buccaneers running back in 2017, but given that he only started eight games, he wasn’t the only problem in the Tampa Bay backfield. Peyton Barber handled 108 carries but finished with only 3.9 yards per carry — he’s an exclusive rights free agent, and if he returns next season, it could be as a backup. Jacquizz Rodgers may be a candidate for release after averaging 3.8 yards per touch, and Charles Sims — the club’s main receiving back — is a free agent and seems unlikely to be re-signed.

Tampa Bay will essentially start with a blank slate at the running back position, but the 2018 free agent market is well-stocked with potential upgrades. Le’Veon Bell is clearly the top available back, but it seems inconceivable that he won’t return to the Steelers next season (if not via a long-term deal, then under the franchise tag). If Bell somehow does finagle his way out of Pittsburgh, though, the Buccaneers would be a prime landing spot. Not only does Tampa have the cap space to pay Bell what he wants, but the club could immediately make him the centerpiece of its offense.

If and when Bell re-signs with the Steelers, the Buccaneers will still have plenty of options at running back. Aside from Bell, Carlos Hyde may be the most talented runner on the free agent market, although injuries and a lack of talent on the 49ers’ roster have limited his overall production. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay could afford the $6MM annual salary that Dion Lewis is reportedly searching for, while Isaiah Crowell could also make sense as an every-down back.Rex Burkhead (Vertical)

Another strategy the Bucs could pursue would involve installing the 225-pound Barber as their early-down bruiser while inking a running back who specializes in the passing game. Lewis would fit that bill (and add much more), but fellow Patriot Rex Burkhead could potentially serve as an excellent receiver for Jameis Winston. Burkhead ranked first among pending free agent running backs in FO’s receiving DYAR and DVOA, and shouldn’t be all that expensive given that he secured only a one-year deal in 2017. The Vikings’ Jerick McKinnon — essentially a souped-up version of the incumbent Sims — could also fill a receiving role.

In the draft, Penn State’s Saquon Barkley is the clear-cut top available back, but it’s unclear if he’ll fall to the seventh overall pick. If he does, the Buccaneers would likely jump on him, although the club has enough other needs that it’s not a guarantee. Instead, Tampa Bay could hold off on adding a young running back until the second round, when other players such as Ronald Jones (USC), Sony Michel (Georgia), and Derrius Guice (LSU) may be available. Jones, in particular, would be a solid fit in an outside zone running scheme, as Benjamin Solak of NDT Scouting recently detailed.

2) Bolster the pass rush: No team struggled more to get after opposing quarterbacks in 2017 than did the Buccaneers. Tampa finished dead last in sacks (22), adjusted sack rate, and pressure rate, and just this week fired defensive line coach Jay Hayes. While there’s no word yet as to who will replace Hayes, a new coach should be leading a unit that undergoes a significant revamp this offseason.Robert Ayers (Vertical)

The first thing the Buccaneers need to do is trim the fat on their defensive line. We’ll focus primarily on edge rushers given that Tampa Bay is set in the middle with Gerald McCoy and Chris Baker (although neither is a spring chicken). Veteran Robert Ayers posted the best season of his career in 2017 and is under contract for one more year, while former second-rounder Noah Spence will return from injury in 2018. Ayers and Spence should be in the Bucs’ plans for next season, but nearly every other pass rusher should be shown the door.

Ryan Russell somehow managed to play the second-most snaps of any Tampa Bay edge defender a year ago, but now that he’s a restricted free agent, I’m not sure he should even be offered an original round tender (which would pay him in the neighborhood of $1.9MM). Will Clarke is a failed former Day 2 draft pick who followed Hayes from Cincinnati; he’s a free agent now and shouldn’t be retained. And William Gholston was signed to a “$27.5MM deal” last offseason that — thanks to Tampa Bay’s contract strategy — is really worth $7MM. He can be released with no penalty this spring.Read more

Top 3 Offseason Needs: Dallas Cowboys

In advance of March 14, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Dallas Cowboys, who missed the playoffs despite entering the season as potential Super Bowl contenders. The team was rocked with turmoil due to the lengthy Ezekiel Elliott suspension and couldn’t turn it on down the stretch, finishing 9-7. With its main contributors on both offense and defense expected back, the Cowboys are in position to rebound from the disappointing season in 2018.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2018:

  1. Tyron Smith, T: $17,545,000
  2. Dez Bryant, WR: $16,500,000
  3. Travis Frederick, C: $13,235,000
  4. Sean Lee, LB: $11,025,000
  5. Zack Martin, G: $9,341,000
  6. Tyrone Crawford, DL: $9,100,000
  7. Tony Romo, QB: $8,900,000 (dead money)
  8. Ezekiel Elliott, RB: $6,806,274
  9. Jason Witten, TE: $6,500,000
  10. La’el Collins, T: $5,833,333

Other:

  • Projected cap space (via Over the Cap): $17,652,081
  • 19th pick in draft
  • Must exercise or decline 2019 fifth-year option for S Byron Jones

Three Needs:

Bring back Demarcus LawrenceBehind the Ezekiel Elliott suspension, nothing was expected to have a bigger impact on the Cowboys in 2017 than the play of the pass rushers. Like expected, the running back’s absence played a large role in the team’s offensive collapse down the stretch and ultimately helped keep them out of the playoffs. "<strong

On the other hand, the work of the pass rush was one of the bright spots for the Cowboys. Despite a four-game suspension to David Irving and a season-long ban for Randy Gregory, the unit managed to be the highlight of an improved defensive unit in 2018. The Cowboys can send their thanks Lawrence’s way after his breakout campaign resulted in 14.5 sacks and a Pro Bowl nod.

The performance came at the perfect time for Lawrence and an unfortunate one for the Cowboys, as the Boise State product enters free agency as one of the top defenders on the market. At the season’s outset, Dallas surely thought it could resign the defensive end for a fraction of what it is going to cost now.

Despite the growing number, don’t expect the Cowboys to let him go. Re-signing the defender will take top priority.

In franchise history, only two players have registered 14.5 sacks in a season — DeMarcus Ware (three times) and now Lawrence. The fourth-year pro finished third in Pro Football Focus’ rankings for edge defenders, finishing behind only Cameron Jordan and Von Miller. Letting production like that leave from a position that has consistently underperformed since the departure of Ware would be foolish.

That is obviously more easy said than done. There is no doubt that the Cowboys will attempt to quickly sign Lawrence to a long-term deal, one that will leave them some flexibility in free agency. If a quick compromise is not reached, however, it is almost guaranteed that they will place the franchise tag on him.

Lawrence’s agent, David Canter, said as much in late January“I would imagine that they’re probably not just letting us get to free agency and leave Dallas.” The last time the Cowboys used the franchise tag was on Dez Bryant in 2015, shortly before signing the receiver to a contract extension. Using the franchise tag on Lawrence would cost the Cowboys about $17.5 MM.

Canter expects to sit down with Cowboys brass at the NFL Combine, which begins on Feb. 28 in Indianapolis. Judging from Canter’s comments, Lawrence will not be giving Dallas a hometown discount.

“It’s really up to them to want to do a deal that’s in line with what the market is for a young, ascending, elite franchise-caliber defensive end. Whatever that number ends up being remains to be seen. But I do imagine and believe that we’ll have multiple conversations over the next month or so. I think it’s early right now.”

With Irving hitting restricted free agency and likely headed for a second-round tag, there is a very real possibility the team could be looking at a 2018 season without its top two pass rushers if it doesn’t place the tag on Lawrence.

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Top 3 Offseason Needs: Kansas City Chiefs

In advance of March 14, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Kansas City Chiefs, who endured yet another disappointing playoff exit. But this came after the Chiefs went 10-6 and claimed back-to-back AFC West titles for the first time in team history, and with many cogs set to come back, they should be in strong position to vie for a third straight division championship.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2018:

  1. Justin Houston, LB: $20,600,000
  2. Eric Fisher, T: $13,950,000
  3. Eric Berry, S: $13,000,000
  4. Derrick Johnson, LB: $10,250,000
  5. Travis Kelce, TE: $10,018,400
  6. Tamba Hali, LB: $9,708,334
  7. Dee Ford, LB: $8,718,000
  8. Allen Bailey, DE: $8,000,000
  9. Mitchell Schwartz, T: $7,700,000
  10. Ron Parker, S: $6,984,375

Other:

  • Projected cap space (via Over the Cap, accounting for Smith trade): $8,157,594
  • No first-round pick
  • Must exercise or decline 2019 fifth-year option for CB Marcus Peters
  • Must exercise or decline 2019 fifth-year option for OL Cameron Erving

Three Needs:

1) Solve Justin Houston sidekick situation: By the time the Titans were mounting an ultimately successful comeback bid to hand the Chiefs another stinging playoff defeat, Houston was on his own. Dee Ford was on IR, Tamba Hali was ineffective and Frank Zombo continued to be relied upon more than he should have. This helped the Titans divert attention to Houston, who generated just two pressures on 29 pass-rush attempts. Odds are, the Chiefs’ edge-rushing contingent will look different come September.

Houston enjoyed his healthiest season since his 22-sack campaign of 2014 and played his most snaps (86.9 percent) since that banner year, an encouraging sign for his future. He might not return to that level after rampant the knee trouble he’s experienced, but the Chiefs’ eighth-year edge man remains one of the best 3-4 outside linebackers in the game. The Chiefs will need to supplement him better going forward.

Hali will surely be released prior to the third and final year of his third Chiefs contract, and that will free up $7.69MM in much-needed space. The Alex Smith trade will create $17MM in cap room, and Derrick Johnson will come off the books as well. For a team that did not have much cap space during a John Dorsey era that did manage to produce some impact signings in spite of this, these expected transactions provide much-needed relief.

Ford’s fifth-year option comes in at $8.72MM, and the Chiefs face a complex decision here.

The 2014 first-rounder has not delivered what was hoped when Dorsey authorized that selection. That 10-sack season in 2016 looks like an outlier, because Ford was either buried behind Hali — despite the franchise wanting an excuse to play him — in 2014-15 or ineffective (2017). Last season, injuries limited Ford from building on his breakout ’16 slate. Provided Ford can pass a March physical, he is a release candidate.

But will the Chiefs discard a (mostly) known commodity and someone who has never quite had the opportunity to line up opposite Houston for an extended period — the plan when the Chiefs picked the Auburn talent four years ago — to go after a replacement on the market or in the draft (without a first-round pick)?

Tanoh Kpassagnon could possibly help as both a down lineman or a stand-up ‘backer and will likely be asked to be a key player in 2018. The 2017 second-rounder is a bit of a tweener (6-foot-7, 280 pounds) for a 3-4 scheme, and the Chiefs used the Villanova product more as an edge defender as a rookie. He only played 158 snaps, which could have been expected from the raw talent out of a Division I-FCS program, but will be an intriguing piece going forward as the Chiefs reconfigure their front seven.

There are some options with 3-4 experience on the UFA market, but the top players are coming off severe injuries.

Alex Okafor and Jeremiah Attaochu, the latter of whom the Chargers chose not to play much since his six-sack 2015 season, could be in line for a notable raise. The outside linebacker-turned-defensive end played just 59 snaps last season and has only topped the 20 percent playtime barrier once. But he did play behind arguably the best edge duo in the game and is a 25-year-old former second-round pick. There’s upside here despite a lack of usage in recent years.

Okafor played in the Saints’ 4-3 setup last season but spent four years in the Cardinals’ 3-4. At just 27 and coming off a plus season defending the run and pursuing passers, Okafor saw an injury deny a likely robust market. Maladies have dogged the 27-year-old edge defender the past two years, and he’s coming off a torn Achilles’ tendon. He won’t be a safe investment. Trent Murphy is in the same boat. He registered nine sacks in a strong 2016 season but missed all of last season due to an ACL tear and will see his market affected.Read more

Top 3 Offseason Needs: Green Bay Packers

In advance of March 14, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll begin this year’s series with the Green Bay Packers, who lost quarterback Aaron Rodgers in Week 6 and subsequently limped to a 7-9 record.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2018:

  1. Aaron Rodgers, QB: $20,900,000
  2. Randall Cobb, WR: $12,750,000
  3. Jordy Nelson, WR: $12,550,000
  4. Clay Matthews, LB: $11,400,000
  5. David Bakhtiari, T: $11,200,000
  6. Nick Perry, LB: $10,750,000
  7. Davante Adams, WR: $10,537,500
  8. Mike Daniels, DE: $9,900,000
  9. Bryan Bulaga, T: $8,350,000
  10. Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, S: $5,957,000

Other:

  • Projected cap space (via Over the Cap): $21,979,291
  • 14th pick in draft
  • Must exercise or decline 2019 fifth-year option for CB Damarious Randall

Three Needs:

1) Add an explosive wide receiver: While nearly every statistical decline by the Packers’ 2017 offense can be at least somewhat attributed to the loss of Aaron Rodgers (and the related poor play of backup quarterback Brett Hundley), there is a way to strip out the performance of Green Bay’s signal-caller and assess the play-making ability and speed of the club’s offensive weapons. The NFL’s Next Gen Stats use on-field location data to track player acceleration, and the Packers have not fared well over the past two seasons. According to researcher Anthony Staggs, Green Bay’s wide receivers tied for last among the 32 NFL clubs with an average speed of 12.81 mph as ball carriers since 2016. Fleet-footed the Packers are not.Jordy Nelson

Green Bay’s wide receiver room could look a lot different in 2018, both due to the recent performance of the team’s pass-catchers and financial realities. Randall Cobb and Jordy Nelson are the 17th- and 18th-highest-paid wideouts in the league, and it’s not clear that either is worth his current salary. Cobb hasn’t topped 650 yards receiving since 2015, while Nelson looked his age (32) last season. The Packers could save nearly $9.5MM by releasing Cobb and more tan $10MM by cutting Nelson this offseason, and while both are candidates to be let go, I wonder if Cobb will be saved by his relative youth (he’s still only 27 years old).

Let’s assume the Packers will need to add at least one outside receiver to play alongside Davante Adams, who recently inked a four-year, $58MM extension. The first place to look will be the free agent market, and two options who could be had for relatively cheap are the Colts’ Donte Moncrief and the Cardinals’ John Brown. Marcus Mosher of Bleacher Report’s NFL1000 series recently discussed both options through a series of GIFS (Moncrief: No. 1, No. 2; Brown: No. 1, No. 2, No. 3), noting Moncrief’s “insane amount of unlocked talent” and Brown’s “easy speed” and ball-tracking ability. Neither has been effective since the 2015 campaign, meaning Green Bay should be able to land either on a one- or two-year deal.

Other receivers that could make sense for the Packers include Paul Richardson and Jaron Brown, who managed the most 20+ yard catches among free agent wideouts; Mike Wallace, who’s made a career out of handling deep balls; and Brice Butler, who boasts an intriguing size/speed combination and is looking for a starting job. Given the presence of Adams, and the fact that at least one of Cobb or Nelson will likely be retained, Green Bay doesn’t need to go searching for a No. 1 wide receiver, and can instead target marginal upgrades with specific skills.T.Y. Hilton (Vertical)

Having said that, the Colts T.Y. Hilton would look good in green and gold and would immediately give the Packers one of the best wide receiving corps in the league. Hilton, of course, isn’t a free agent, but his name did pop up in trade rumors last October. While Indianapolis reportedly holds Hilton in “high regard,” it’s possible he could still be available for the right price, especially if the Colts decide to undergo something of a mini-rebuild. Hilton, 28, is under contract for three more seasons with base salaries between $11MM and $14.5MM. Other wideouts who could be acquired via trade (or following a release), such as Dez Bryant and Demaryius Thomas, aren’t fits for Green Bay, but Michael Crabtree could be on new general manager Brian Gutekunst‘s radar if he’s cut by the Raiders.

The Packers could also use the draft to secure another wideout, but they likely won’t invest a first-round pick on the position. While other receivers could sneak into the first round, Alabama’s Calvin Ridley is the only lock to be selected on Day 1. Green Bay, for what it’s worth, hasn’t used a first-round pick on a pass-catcher since 2002 when they took Javon Walker out of Florida State. SMU’s Courtland Sutton, whom Matt Miller of Bleacher Report says has the best potential of any 2018 receiver, could be on the table for the Packers in Round 2, while D.J. Chark (LSU), Deontay Burnett (USC), and Deon Cain (Clemson) are among the speedy options who may be available in the middle rounds.

2) Fix the pass defense: Green Bay’s secondary was among the NFL’s worst in 2017, as the unit ranked 26th in DVOA (including a dead last finish against opposing No. 1 wide receivers), 30th in yards per attempt allowed, and 31st in passer rating allowed. All of the Packers’ primary cornerbacks, including Damarious Randall, Davon House, Josh Hawkins, and Kevin King, finished in the bottom quartile of Pro Football Focus‘ CB rankings. While changes could come organically — much of the Packers’ secondary is still young aside from House, and new defensive coordinator Mike Pettine should be an improvement over Dom Capers — Green Bay should look into adding another corner this spring.Read more

Top 3 Offseason Needs: Miami Dolphins

In advance of March 14, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Miami Dolphins, who missed the playoffs with a disappointing 6-10 record.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2018:

  1. Ndamukong Suh, DT: $26,100,000
  2. Ryan Tannehill, QB: $19,800,000
  3. Reshad Jones, S: $11,575,000
  4. Andre Branch, DE: $10,000,000
  5. Kenny Stills, WR: $9,750,000
  6. Kiko Alonso, LB: $9,637,500
  7. Ja’Wuan James, T: $9,341,000
  8. Mike Pouncey, C: $9,000,000
  9. Cameron Wake, DE: $8,625,000
  10. Lawrence Timmons, LB: $8,225,000

Other:

  • Projected cap space (via Over the Cap): $14,227,046
  • 11th pick in draft
  • Must exercise or decline 2019 fifth-year option for WR DeVante Parker
  • Must exercise or decline 2019 fifth-year option for LB Stephone Anthony

Three Needs:

1. Offensive guard. This was a rough year for the Dolphins offensive line between injuries and the midseason scandal that resulted in OL coach Chris Foerster‘s resignation. The Dolphins finished the year 30th in run blocking according to Football Outsiders‘ adjusted line yards metric and that’s bad news since the team clearly needs to establish the run game going forward. Jermon Bushrod

Miami placed dead last in the league with 360 rushing attempts in 2017. For reference, the franchise record for fewest rushing attempts in a season is 326, back in 1967 when the regular season was only 14 games long. On a per game basis, Miami averaged just 22.5 carries per game this past season versus 23.9 in ’67. Much of that has to do with the Dolphins often playing from behind last year, but the Dolphins must keep defenses honest with a balanced offensive attack next year.

There are some times where you just go, ‘Man, we’re getting it,’” former offensive coordinator Clyde Christensen said of the team’s run blocking back in December (via Chris Perkins of the Sun Sentinel). “And then there are times where you go, ‘How does that happen? How did we set him free?’

Ted LarsenThe Dolphins’ starting guards – Jermon Bushrod and Ted Larsen – are both due for free agency. Given that they both graded out as the No. 62 and No. 67 ranked guards in the league, per Pro Football Focus, and battled injuries, they are unlikely to return as first shift interior linemen. Jesse Davis (ranked 63rd by PFF) and 2017 fifth-round choice Issac Asiata remain under contract, but neither player is in line for a promotion. In theory, Laremy Tunsil could be moved from tackle to guard, but the team has said that he will remain on the outside.

Whether it’s through free agency, the draft, or trades, the Dolphins need to add at least two guards this offseason.

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Top 3 Offseason Needs: Los Angeles Chargers

In advance of March 14, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Los Angeles Chargers, who narrowly missed out on a postseason berth after finishing with a 9-7 record.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2018:

  1. Philip Rivers, QB: $22,000,000
  2. Russell Okung, T: $15,000,000
  3. Melvin Ingram, DE: $13,875,000
  4. Keenan Allen, WR: $9,650,000
  5. Corey Liuget, DT: $9,500,000
  6. Jason Verrett, CB: $8,526,000
  7. Joey Bosa, DE: $7,056,456
  8. Travis Benjamin, WR: $7,000,000
  9. Joe Barksdale, T: $5,800,000
  10. Brandon Mebane, DT: $5,500,000

Other:

  • Projected cap space (via Over the Cap): $24,105,510
  • 17th pick in draft
  • Must exercise or decline 2019 fifth-year option for RB Melvin Gordon

Three Needs:

1) Address the run defense: In today’s NFL, stopping the pass is far more important than halting the run, and the Chargers boast one of the best secondaries in the league. Fielding perhaps the most elite cornerback trio (Casey Hayward, Trevor Williams, Desmond King) in the NFL, plus two excellent safeties in Jahleel Addae and Tre Boston, Los Angeles ranked third in passing touchdowns allowed, fourth in passer rating allowed, sixth in yards per attempt allowed, and ninth in pass defense DVOA.

But while teams should place more of an emphasis on pass defense, they can’t completely fail to stop opposing rushing attacks, which is essentially what the Chargers did in 2017. Los Angeles finished 29th in rush defense DVOA, 31st in yards allowed, and dead last in yards per attempt allowed. As such, much of the focus of the Chargers’ offseason should be on upgrading their interior defensive line and their linebacking unit.

Mostly due to injuries, Los Angeles used a four-man rotation at inside linebacker a season ago, as Jatavis Brown, Hayes Pullard, Denzel Perryman, and Korey Toomer all saw at least 25% playtime. The Chargers seemingly don’t view Brown as a full-time starter (based on his prior usage), Pullard was stretched as a fill-in last year, and Toomer hasn’t been able to find a place on the field despite his record of production (and is now a free agent). Perryman, then, is the only LA ‘backer who figures to return as a locked-in starter in 2018, meaning the club can certainly search for a complement during free agency or via the draft.Navorro bowman (vertical)

Luckily for the Chargers, the free agent linebacker class is relatively strong, so they should be able to find a solution when the market opens in March. Zach Brown, Tahir Whitehead, and NaVorro Bowman all ranked among Pro Football Focus‘ top 20 linebackers in run grade, but Bowman might be the best fit of the three. Not only is Bowman probably the best all-around linebacker of the group (he was the only member earn a mark greater than 50 in PFF’s coverage grades), but he’s also the oldest of the triumvirate. Given Los Angeles’ salary cap situation, the team may look for a bargain signing, and Bowman’s age could make him a bit cheaper. Brown, for what it’s worth, could be hunting for a top-tier LB contract.

Even more cost-effective linebackers than Bowman will be available, including Preston Brown (who’s played in 64 consecutive games with the Bills to begin his career) and Paul Posluszny, who could leave Jacksonville after seven seasons thanks to the strength of the Jaguars’ front seven. If the Chargers want to go even further towards the bottom of the barrel, they could target Kevin Minter or Gerald Hodges, each of whom failed to get on the field with the Bengals and Saints, respectively, in 2017. Both have had up-and-down careers, but each is only 27 years old and posted a solid campaign as recently as 2016.

Los Angeles will likely need to dip into free agency to add another defensive lineman, as well. Brandon Mebane has been a high-quality signing since joining the Chargers in 2016, but he’s now entering his age-33 season. Former first-round pick Corey Liuget was relatively effective in limited snaps last year, but Eric D. Williams of ESPN.com recently listed Liuget as a possible release candidate (LA would ave $6.5MM by cutting him).Dontari Poe (Vertical)

While veterans such as Haloti Ngata or Kyle Williams could theoretically be effective for the Chargers, I don’t think defensive coordinator Gus Bradley wants his unit to get older this offseason. Therefore, let’s focus on free agents who are age-28 or younger. Dontari Poe will likely be looking for a multi-year pact after inking only a one-year deal with the Falcons last year, so Los Angeles could either pay up for the 6’3″, 350-pounder, or wait to see if his market crashes again. Bennie Logan could also be of interest (although the Redskins look like they’ll target him), while the Panthers don’t appear willing to re-sign Star Lotulelei at his likely asking price. The Eagles’ Beau Allen and the Ravens’ Brent Urban could also be in consideration for the Chargers over the next several weeks.

Adding a youthful defensive tackle in the draft is also on the table, and both Mel Kiper Jr. of ESPN.com and Lance Zierlein of NFL.com recently mocked Alabama’s Da’Ron Payne to the Chargers. One NFL executive told Zierlein that Payne is a “thick and strong” athlete who will likely end up as a better pro than fellow Crimson Tide alum A’Shawn Robinson. In his ESPN.com piece, Williams tossed out Vita Vea (Washington) and Harrison Phillips (Stanford) as options for Los Angeles.

2) Find Philip Rivers‘ successor: The great thing about the Chargers’ roster is that it doesn’t have pressing holes at vital positions. Los Angeles is well-stocked at wide receiver, edge rusher, and cornerback, arguably the most important positions aside from quarterback in the NFL. While the club has needs at linebacker, defensive tackle, interior offensive line, and possibly safety if Tre Boston leaves via free agency, it can find solutions at those positions on the cheap, either in the later stages of free agency or in the middle rounds of the draft.Philip Rivers

Given that they don’t necessarily need to land an impact player at a critical position this offseason, the Chargers could instead use their first-round pick on a quarterback. That’s not to imply Rivers is no longer a successful signal-caller. In 2017, Rivers ranked second in Football Outsiders‘ DYAR, fourth in FO’s DVOA, fourth in adjusted net yards per pass attempt, eighth in passer rating, and eighth in PFF’s 2018 Quarterback Annual, which noted Rivers can still hit intermediate passes and evade pressure with regularity.

But not every quarterback can keep up their statistical performance into their late-30s. Tom Brady and his TB12 method is an outlier, as most signal-callers are fading or finished by the time they reach Rivers’ age. Rivers will turn 37 years old during the 2018 campaign: since the merger in 1970, only 50 quarterbacks age-37 or older that have attempted at least 300 passes in a single season. Raise that age threshold to 38 years old, and the number of starting-caliber seasons drops to 29. No matter how well Rivers is currently playing, the odds are that his production will slip in the coming year or two — and it could happen quickly.Read more

Top 3 Offseason Needs: Denver Broncos

In advance of March 14, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Denver Broncos, who slunk out of the playoff picture midway through the 2017 season en route to a 5-11 campaign.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2018:

  1. Von Miller, LB: $22,500,000
  2. Demaryius Thomas, WR: $12,033,333
  3. Aqib Talib, CB: $12,000,000
  4. Emmanuel Sanders, WR: $10,937,500
  5. Derek Wolfe, DE: $10,925,000
  6. Chris Harris, CB: $10,366,666
  7. Ronald Leary, G: $8,796,875
  8. Bradley Roby, CB: $8,526,000
  9. Menelik Watson, T: $7,458,333
  10. Brandon Marshall, LB: $7,000,000

Other:

  • Projected cap space (via Over the Cap): $26,965,120
  • Fifth pick in draft
  • Must exercise or decline 2019 fifth-year option for LB Shane Ray

Three Needs:

1) Decide which path they’ll take to quarterback upgrade: The 2016 Broncos did not display much in the way of rushing offense, rushing defense, or pass offense. They rode a historically dominant pass defense to a 9-7 record. A year later, Denver managed to fix its ground problems, rising from 28th to fifth in run defense and 27th to 12th in rush offense, but it ended up mattering little thanks to what took place under center. Often abysmal quarterback play doomed the Broncos, and their offseason will be centered around addressing that.

However, the Broncos have two disparate routes they could take to upgrade here. Their situation dictates they will have to make a decision earlier than most quarterback-needy teams have in recent memory.

Thanks to a quarterback market that dwarfs just about anything the NFL’s seen since Peyton Manning‘s 2012 free agency tour, the Broncos don’t figure to have the luxury of prospects’ pro days or pre-draft visits to judge incoming rookies. Since the legal tampering period begins March 12, the Broncos — if they are to explore adding a veteran to align with their experienced defense and wideout duo — may have to choose their avenue after the Combine.

Now that historic circumstances will send Kirk Cousins to the market, landing him will probably be Denver’s primary goal. Shifting focus to the rookie circuit will presumably only come as a result of Cousins deciding to sign elsewhere.

While it’s a good year to need a quarterback, with starter-level veterans available and a rookie class that could see four passers go off the board in the top 10, whatever direction the Broncos choose will have critical ramifications for themselves and some other teams in this complex quarterback market.

It would make financial sense if the Broncos targeted a rookie. Before any Aqib Talib action is taken, Denver is in the middle of the cap-space pack. Shedding only Talib’s deal (and saving $11MM) might not be sufficient in a Cousins pursuit. They may need to consider removing at least one more veteran contract from the payroll. C.J. Anderson, Derek Wolfe, Emmanuel Sanders or even Demaryius Thomas qualify here.

That said, their QB sales pitch is a veteran-heavy roster filled with championship experience. Cutting into it too much would defeat the purpose of adding a passer.

However, the Broncos’ past decision to go in the amateur direction burned them. Paxton Lynch‘s lack of development placed them in this predicament.

While a rookie would be a better financial fit, it might behoove the Broncos to go for experience this time considering the ages of said championship nucleus. Von Miller (29 in March), Chris Harris (29 in June), Brandon Marshall (29 in September) and Wolfe (28 in February) will all be in their 20s next season, but it will be the last season the bulk of the remaining Super Bowl 50 core will be south of 30. Sanders will turn 31 in March, and Thomas recently turned 30.

The best players currently on the Broncos are not ascending talents, and they have seen poor quarterback play drain some of their primes. A veteran would make more sense for this group’s contention window.

Cousins’ price could well be north of Matthew Stafford‘s $27MM-AAV pact and thus nearly $10MM more per year than the Broncos have ever paid a quarterback. Manning cost $19MM annually. Operating without a franchise-quarterback salary allowed the Broncos to extend role cogs like Marshall, Wolfe, Sanders and Darian Stewart. That math changes if Cousins or a lesser veteran option is acquired.

But the Broncos have seen the results when a proven player is not taking snaps for them and may be ready to stomach the price. Cousins agreeing to a Denver pact could reopen the Broncos’ contention window in 2018. It’s uncertain if any other veteran or rookie passer would be capable of that, illustrating the stakes of what promises to be a momentous competition for the soon-to-be-available passer.

A top-tier contract will be required for Cousins — a good, not great, passer. But an argument could be made the Broncos would be the AFC West favorites and one of the conference’s best teams with a good, not great, passer. The soon-to-be 30-year-old will have other suitors — like the Jets, Cardinals, Bills, or Jaguars, if they reverse course and move on from Blake Bortles — driving up his price. That would eat into Denver’s funds for other positions of need.

With Cousins detailing how critical a winning situation is to his decision, the Broncos may have a leg up on most of the competition. The Browns and Jets will hold far more cap space, but would Cousins — who’s banked $44MM-plus the past two seasons — take a slight discount if it meant latching on with a team in a better position to compete?

If it’s not Cousins the Broncos are realistically chasing, the offseason slows down to some degree. None of the other UFA QBs (this is assuming Drew Brees, as he’s said he intends to, re-signs with the Saints) will require this kind of urgency. Mike Klis of 9News notes the Broncos would seek a stopgap passer to pair with a rookie if Cousins spurns them, and there are plenty of options for that role.

The Gary Kubiak coaching staff examined Tyrod Taylor three years ago, but he wouldn’t seem to fit as well in the current scheme. Taylor (if available, as he’s expected to be) also won’t be nearly as costly as Cousins, and the Bills’ turnover-averse passer could play into the Denver defense’s hands. A game-managerial style would protect a unit that saw turnovers (Denver was minus-17, 31st in the NFL) create wild disparity in 2017: third in total defense (290 yards per game) and 22nd in points (23.9 per game).

The Vikings will likely send two of their passers to the market, but neither Teddy Bridgewater nor Sam Bradford is a franchise-changing player at this point. Case Keenum‘s status is up in the air; he could be an option as well if not franchise-tagged. Klis even speculates about a Jay Cutler reunion, which would certainly be a strange occurrence.

None move the needle like Cousins would, but most would be upgrades in Denver. The half-measures would also allow for less cap space-clearing roster reconstruction.Read more

Top 3 Offseason Needs: Houston Texans

In advance of March 14, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the Houston Texans, who finished 4-12 after posting a 9-7 record for three consecutive seasons.

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2018:

  1. J.J. Watt, DE: $15,000,000
  2. DeAndre Hopkins, WR: $14,000,000
  3. Jadeveon Clowney, DE: $13,846,000
  4. Kareem Jackson, CB: $9,000,000
  5. Brian Cushing, LB: $8,840,625
  6. Jeff Allen, G: $7,375,000
  7. Lamar Miller, RB: $6,750,000
  8. Whitney Mercilus, LB: $5,956,250
  9. C.J. Fiedorowicz, TE: $5,156,250
  10. Andre Hal, S: $3,750,000

Other:

  • Projected cap space (via Over the Cap): $56,665,767
  • No first-round pick
  • Must exercise or decline 2019 fifth-year option for CB Kevin Johnson

Three Needs:

1) Rebuild the offensive line: The Texans’ porous offensive line didn’t play a role in rookie sensation Deshaun Watson‘s torn ACL, as the first-year quarterback suffered the non-contact injury during a practice session. However, if Houston wants to protect its investment under center for the long-term, the club needs to do something about its front five, which ranked among the league’s worst and traded away its best player — left tackle Duane Brown — at midseason.

Nearly every individual and team metric was down on the Texans’ offensive line in 2017. Football Outsiders ranked the unit 20th in adjusted line yards and 30th in adjusted sack rate, while Houston finished dead last in pressure rate allowed. The club allowed 54 sacks (second-most in the NFL), while no Texans offensive lineman received a grade greater than 45 (on a 100-point scale) from Pro Football Focus. Players such as Breno Giacomini, Xavier Su’a-Filo, Greg Mancz, Jeff Allen, and Chris Clark — none of which are household names — garnered at least 45% playtime in what became a lost Houston season.

As such, the Texans are looking at a complete offseason revamp of their front five: Giacomini, Su’a-Filo, and Clark are all free agents and don’t figure to attract much interest, while Mancz is a restricted free agent and Allen is a candidate for his release. However, Houston will have to do nearly all of its offensive line rebuilding through free agency, as the 2018 draft lacks impact lineman (and the Texans don’t own a first- or second-round pick, anyway).Nate Solder (Vertical)

The free agent tackle class doesn’t offer many special options, either, but Texans head coach Bill O’Brien‘s Patriots connections could make Houston a player for Nate Solder, Cameron Fleming, or LaAdrian Waddle. Solder is clearly the prize among that group, and given that he’s far and away the best blindside protector on the open market, Houston would have to outbid several other clubs in order to land him. With nearly $60MM in cap space, the Texans have the ability to do just that, but Fleming and/or Waddle could also be viable solutions at cheaper cost.

The only other free agent tackles worth considering are the Giants’ Justin Pugh and the Steelers’ Chris Hubbard, but each come with concerns. Pugh has generally played guard and right tackle at the NFL level, so he could be stretched if asked to play on the left side full-time, while Hubbard had never started more than four games before last season. Other free agents at the tackle position include Greg Robinson, Donald Stephenson, Garry Gilliam, and Andre Smith, none of which would represent significant upgrades over the Texans’ current line.

Unrestricted free agency isn’t flush with left tackles, but the Texans could take an unorthodox approach and pursue Redskins restricted free agent Ty Nsekhe. Nsekhe isn’t a conventional pickup, as he’ll turn 33 years old during the 2018 season and has started only 11 games during the course of his career. But Nsekhe was incredibly successful as a fill-in for Trent Williams in 2016, and Sam Monson of Pro Football Focus told me last spring that Nsekhe has the “kind of power and athletic mix that makes him a fit for any scheme.” Andy Benoit of TheMMQB.com, meanwhile, called Nsekhe a “good North/South run-blocker” who is “athletic enough to contribute in an outside zone game.”

One other tackle who could potentially help Houston is already on the club’s roster: Derek Newton tore both patella tendons in October 2016 and hasn’t been on the field since, and while there’s been no recent update on his health, Newton was reportedly optimistic at this time last year that he’d be able to play again at some point. Medical professionals have called Newton’s injury a “once-every five year” outcome, so there’s no guarantee Newton will ever return, let alone play at the same level. The Texans have more information than the general public on Newton’s status, and their offseason moves at right tackle should reflect their opinion of his health.Andrew Norwell (Vertical)

While Houston may not be able to use free agency to pick up a starting tackle, the team should make hay in the free agent guard market, which offers more serviceable options. Andrew Norwell figures to land the largest contract among the group, and the Texans should be interested, as signing the former Panther would allow the club to correct its mistake in signing Allen two years ago. Weston Richburg could be another interesting addition, although his presence would force Houston to move either him or incumbent center Nick Martin to guard.

Other guard/centers that could require multi-year contracts include Josh Kline (Titans), Jack Mewhort (Colts), and Ryan Jensen (Ravens), but the Texans could also ink a few older players to one-year pacts in an effort to solidify their front five. Given Watson’s cheap contract and the overall weakness of the AFC South, Houston should try to compete immediately, so signing veterans for a single-season run isn’t the worst idea. Among the candidates for such a deal could be Brandon Fusco, Matt Slauson, Alex Boone, or Jahri Evans.

2) Bolster the secondary: The Texans were still in the mix for cornerback A.J. Bouye in the spring of 2017, but eventually lost him to the division-rival Jaguars after not using the franchise tender. Granted, Houston entered last offseason with only $25MM in cap space, so the club didn’t have unlimited funds to use on re-signing Bouye, but his absence was felt last year. None of Kareem Jackson, Johnathan Joseph, nor Kevin Johnson played well, and the Texans ranked 24th, 30th, and 24th in DVOA against No. 1, No. 2, and slot receivers, respectively. Overall, Houston surrendered the second-most passing touchdowns and yards per attempt in the NFL in 2017.Johnathan Joseph (Vertical)

Joseph (33) and Jackson (29) aren’t part of the Texans’ long-term plans, and neither may be on the team’s roster next season. Joseph is a free agent, and given his recent lack of production, it probably doesn’t make sense for Houston to re-sign him. According to the 2018 Pro Football Focus Free Agent Guide, Joseph ranked 88th among 126 qualified corners with a 99.1 passer rating last year, and finished 105th in yards allowed per coverage snap (1.45). Jackson also struggled in 2017, and given that the Texans can save $6.75MM by cutting him in the coming weeks, he could be a cap casualty.Read more

Top 3 Offseason Needs: New York Giants

In advance of March 14, the start of free agency in the NFL, Pro Football Rumors will detail each team’s three most glaring roster issues. We’ll continue this year’s series with the New York Giants, who are looking to rebound from a disastrous 2017 season:

Depth Chart (via Roster Resource)

Pending Free Agents:

Top 10 Cap Hits for 2018:

  1. Eli Manning, QB: $22,200,000
  2. Jason Pierre-Paul, DE: $17,500,000
  3. Olivier Vernon, DE: $17,000,000
  4. Janoris Jenkins, CB: $13,000,000
  5. Damon Harrison, DT: $9,600,000
  6. Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB: $8,500,000
  7. Odell Beckham Jr., WR: $8,459,000
  8. Brandon Marshall, WR: $6,156,250
  9. Ereck Flowers, T: $4,579,219
  10. Eli Apple, CB: $4,132,436

Other:

  • Projected cap space (via Over the Cap): $22,955,068
  • Second pick in draft
  • Must exercise or decline 2019 fifth-year option for T Ereck Flowers

Three Needs:

1. Identify the quarterback of the future. Not long ago, it seemed like a sure thing that Eli Manning was a goner in New York. But, things move quickly in the greater NYC area. Owner John Mara wants Manning back in the foldManning wants to stay too, despite his temporary demotion late in the season. New GM Dave Gettleman and head coach Pat Shurmur have also said that they intend to have Eli under center in 2018. All signs are pointing to the two-time Super Bowl champ being back in blue, but the Giants surely know that this is the beginning of the end for Manning. Eli Manning (Vertical)

This year’s free agent quarterback market is stronger than any in recent memory, but the Giants will not be among the teams to make a play for Kirk Cousins, nor will they try and coax Drew Brees to leave New Orleans (it’s not likely that Brees will hit the open market anyway). Manning will eat up $22MM of the salary cap and there’s no realistic scenario in which the Giants can keep him on board as an extraordinarily expensive backup. Even if they could swing it somehow, Manning would object and the Giants faithful would burn the Meadowlands to the ground.

The Giants are expected to use the No. 2 overall pick on one of this year’s top quarterbacks. Unless the Browns go all-in and sign Kirk Cousins in free agency, they’ll probably see one of those QBs come off the board before they are called to the podium.

Although new Browns GM John Dorsey says that he’ll be considering a pool of four or five players at No. 1, most believe that Cleveland will select either USC star Sam Darnold or UCLA standout Josh Rosen. As most mock drafts will tell you, the common belief is that the Browns will take Darnold, who is believed to be the safer choice despite throwing 13 interceptions in 2017.

Does that mean the Giants will take Rosen? Probably, but that’s far from definite. Rosen’s outspoken personality would work better in New York than in most markets, but he too had some ill-timed interceptions and the shoulder injury that shut him down in 2016 is still a concern. How about Wyoming’s Josh Allen? Allen’s decision making and accuracy has been questioned, but he’s an impressive athlete for a 6’5″ QB and his arm strength is top notch. You may also hear some Baker Mayfield talk between now and April, but we’d be surprised if the Giants reached for him this early.

2. Remake the offensive line. The Giants offense struggled in large part because of the rash of injuries to its wide receiver core and, perhaps, some iffy performances from Manning, but the offensive line was downright porous. In fact, it was a desire to fix the Giants’ Swiss cheese O-Line that broke the ice between Shurmur and Gettleman. Pat Shurmur (vertical)

As soon as he said, ‘Everything starts with the offensive line,’“said Shurmur when asked when the conversation between him and the GM really clicked (via NJ.com). “There’s a great example of that: What we went through in Minnesota. We didn’t change the oil; we changed the transmission. We got two free agent offensive linemen, we drafted a center that played like a veteran, and we transformed the offensive line that helped us do the things (to) win 14 games.”

That offensive line transformation in Minnesota helped turn Case Keenum from a career journeyman to a top 10 quarterback in an instant. It started in free agency when the Vikings signed Riley Reiff (five-year, $58.75MM deal with $26.3MM guaranteed) and Mike Remmers (five-year, $30MM deal with $10.5MM guaranteed). Then, in the draft, they traded up in the third round to land eventual starting center Pat Elflein. The revamp didn’t come easy or cheap, but it made a world of difference for the Vikings.

Last year, the Giants’ were 21st in the NFL in sacks allowed (34) and 26th in rushing yards per game (86.6). They must improve in both areas, and that can only be achieved with a serious shakeup.

Gettleman already got the party started in December when he cut starting right tackle Bobby Hart. You can expect much more turnover, particularly with a pair of injury-prone linemen – center Weston Richburg and swing tackle Justin Pugh – headed towards free agency. Former first-round pick Ereck Flowers figures to remain, but the Giants probably won’t bank on him being their starting left tackle after another iffy season.

This year’s free agent tackle class is headlined by a trio of tackles from the AFC East: Ju’Wuan James (Dolphins), Nate Solder (Patriots), and Cameron Fleming (Patriots). After that, there’s a noticeable dip in quality. Steelers lineman Chris Hubbard may be the only other starting quality available tackle.

Andrew Norwell (Vertical)If the Giants want to hit a home run on the interior line, they could make a run at Panthers free agent Andrew Norwell. The guard, 27 in October, is coming off of a career year in which he graded out as Pro Football Focus’ No. 3 ranked guard, putting him ahead of big names such as Josh Sitton, Joel Bitonio, Rodger Saffold, Ron Leary, Kevin Zeitler, and Richie Incognito. Only Zack Martin and David DeCastro placed ahead of Norwell, and that may give you an idea of the kind of money the Giants would have to shell out for him on the open market. Gettleman, who originally signed Norwell as an undrafted free agent when he was the Panthers’ GM, could break the bank to make it happen. When it comes to the top linemen, they’ll be competing with other clubs in win-now mode looking for offensive line help, including the Cardinals and Bengals.

There’s virtually no chance of the Giants using their No. 2 overall pick on a lineman (see: offseason need #1), but gems could be found in the later rounds. Notre Dame guard Quenton Nelson and Texas tackle Connor Williams will long gone by the time the Giants’ next turn comes up at No. 34 overall, but tackles Mike McGlinchey (Notre Dame), Orlando Brown (Oklahoma), Chukwuma Okorafor (Western Michigan), and Kolton Miller (UCLA) could be in play.

3. Add a running back. Orleans Darkwa was the Giants’ lead rusher this year and you may be surprised to learn that he had career highs in yards per carry (4.4), catches (19), and receiving yards (116). But, the soon-to-be 26-year-old is scheduled for free agency and there’s no guarantee that the new regime will look to keep him. Ditto for third down back Shane Vereen. Darkwa seems more likely to stay on board than Vereen, but either way there’s little chance of both returning. That opens up the door for a new tailback and there are a few interesting ones who could be available.

Patriots tailback Dion Lewis stayed healthy in 2017 and averaged 5.0 yards per carry with 32 catches for 214 yards.Dion Lewis (Vertical) Isaiah Crowell and Carlos Hyde both played well last year despite being a part of atrocious offenses. Father time is undefeated, but the Giants could sign Frank Core to a front-loaded deal to see if he can continue his remarkable run past his 35th birthday. Jerick McKinnon could add some serious athleticism and pass-catching acumen to the backfield, but the Giants will have to find someone else to tote the rock ~13 times per game.

If the Giants go QB at No. 2 like we expect, Penn State star Saquon Barkley won’t be an option for them. Derrius Guice (LSU), Ronald Jones II (USC), and Damien Harris (Alabama) all seem slated for the first round, but Kerryon Johnson (Auburn) could slip to them at No. 34, depending on how the combines shake out. A few weeks ago, we would have mentioned Georgia running back Sony Michel as a diamond in the rough, but he has gone from an under-the-radar find to a first round prospect, as Charles Robinson of Yahoo Sports recently detailed.