Even though the 2020 CBA does not contain language giving owners an option to expand the schedule to 18 games, enough steam has built on this matter that players are anticipating another game will be added to the regular season in the not-too-distant future. How the NFL will go about this remains to be seen, but it now looks likely the league’s slate could expand twice in the same decade.
The NFL bent significantly on working conditions in 2011, drastically changing how offseasons run and the format for in-season practices, in exchange for a rookie wage scale and the players giving up a small revenue percentage. More practice restrictions came in 2020, with fifth-year options now more favorable for players and the league’s drug policy relaxed. A move to 18 will require more concessions from the league. While no talks have occurred, per Roger Goodell, they are widely expected to commence down the road.
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One may need to be roster size. Players privy to NFLPA discussions know an NFL push for 18 games is on the horizon, according to Pro Football Talk’s Mike Florio, who indicates one of the areas the union will need to see augmented is the 53-man roster. Clubs are currently permitted 53 active-roster players; that number rises to 55 on gamedays. Teams can dress 48 players. That number may increase, with Florio adding the union will be expected to seek at least 55 players on regular-season rosters. That would mean 57 on gamedays and 50 eligible to suit up.
The league did not intend to move straight from 10- to 16-man practice squads in 2020, but the COVID-19 pandemic prompted midsummer adjustments. One of those brought the 16-man P-squad, which remains in place today. It is not known if the NFLPA will seek more P-squad slots, but Florio expects it will push for increased flexibility regarding elevations. Currently, teams can elevate a P-squad non-quarterback three times per season before he is exposed to waivers. For emergency QB purposes, teams will go into this season with unlimited elevations.
It would not surprise, then, to hear rumblings of more IR-return slots being introduced. Teams currently have eight such activations available during the regular season, but an offseason rule change greenlit two more for the playoffs. Teams also no longer no longer will need to carry injured players they are planning to activate over to IR upon setting their initial 53; two players can be stashed before the final roster is set. While a move to the 2020-21 COVID-era setup — which featured unlimited IR activations — may be a stretch, more freedom to bring back recovered players will likely come up as well.
The NFL will need to approve more than a roster expansion for this to happen, as the players would have rare bargaining power due to the CBA running through March 2031. Two bye weeks, nixed by TV networks in 2020, will likely merit a more lengthy discussion if/when the 18-game push commences in earnest.
Many around the league anticipate the move from 17 to 18 happens via CBA amendment, CBS Sports’ Jonathan Jones adds. That would open the door to the schedule expanding again during the decade, but Jones adds some have suggested the notion of the league and union hammering out a new CBA altogether could also be a solution.
The sides memorably could not prevent a lockout during the 2011 CBA talks, but they did come together on a deal that avoided another CBA-driven work stoppage in 2020. That said, the number of issues that will arise from the schedule again expanding would make it somewhat farfetched to envision another new CBA coming out years before the current deal expires. This would be the first major test for new NFLPA chief Lloyd Howell, as DeMaurice Smith was in place as executive director for the 2011 and ’20 agreements.
Goodell already spoke of the elimination of a second preseason game. Starting the regular season one week earlier than the current schedule’s opener, moving Week 1 to Labor Day weekend, and then adding a second bye would allow the Super Bowl to coincide with Presidents’ Day weekend — a previously rumored NFL goal. The NFLPA’s upcoming proposal to reorganize the offseason — which is not going over well with coaches or execs — looks to be part of the union’s plan for capitalizing on its leverage.
Securing an 18-game schedule before 2029 would bolster the NFL’s position for TV rights, as the league can opt out of its early-2020s deals in 2029. This should be viewed as a strong NFL consideration, Jones adds, and increased TV revenue obviously will lead to bigger cap spikes — as the past two offseasons have shown.
The NFL’s 14-game era spanned 17 seasons, its 16-game schedule 43. Unless a major course change comes, the 17-game schedule seems unlikely to make it through a decade. Long a fringe talking point, the 18-game season will obviously be a central storyline within the league for the foreseeable future.