HEADLINES

Month: January 2025

Patriots HC Jerod Mayo Likely To Be Fired?

January 5th, 2025 at 11:29am CST by Rory Parks

Just a few days ago, we heard that first-year Patriots head coach Jerod Mayo was likely to keep his job for the 2025 season. After all, he was owner Robert Kraft’s hand-picked successor to Bill Belichick, and he inherited a team that was clearly in the early stages of a rebuild, so it would be reasonable to give him some time to learn the ropes as a bench boss and to grow into the role as the club continues to try to improve the roster.

However, Jonathan Jones of CBS Sports writes that Mayo has a “weakening case” to be retained, and Mike Florio of Pro Football Talk hears that “nerves are extremely frayed” among team staffers as they ponder Mayo’s Black Monday fate. Meanwhile, ESPN’s Adam Schefter also hears that there seems to have been a shift in organizational thinking over the last month (video link).

As such, Schefter believes that Mayo will be fired. He references fan anger and fan apathy in his report, and Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald notes that Gillette Stadium was only half-full for the team’s 40-7 drubbing at the hands of the Chargers last week, with multiple “fire Mayo” chants breaking out in the stands late in the game.

Fan reactions are presumably not factors that will motivate Kraft to move on from Mayo, but the nature of the Los Angeles loss, in which the team was outclassed in every facet, certainly could. That defeat was the latest in a string of six consecutive losses, and even late-December reports suggesting that Mayo would be safe included the caveat that a “collapse” over the final three games of the season could change things. While the club did put up a valiant effort in a 24-21 loss to the Bills – the AFC’s No. 2 seed – in Week 16, it is hard to describe a six- or seven-game losing streak to close out a season as anything other than a collapse.

Additionally, in contrast to prior reports that the Patriots’ locker room remained united despite the difficult season, some players have told Kyed that the team suffers from a poor culture and lack of leadership. Such discontent, in conjunction with some of Mayo’s public actions that Jones and/or Kyed have classified as “gaffes” – starting Jacoby Brissett in Week 1 despite admitting that Drake Maye had outplayed Brissett in the preseason, seemingly slighting OC Alex Van Pelt in a postgame presser, and telling a pregame radio show that RB Antonio Gibson would start over Rhamondre Stevenson in Week 17 before making a “coach’s decision” to start Stevenson less than an hour later – could certainly spell trouble for Mayo.

Underscoring all of this, of course, is the presence of franchise icon Mike Vrabel, who is one of the two most coveted coaching candidates in this year’s cycle and who is all but certain to get a head coaching job in the near future. If New England wants Vrabel – and if it does, the interest appears mutual – then now would be the time to make the move.

If Mayo is retained, he is expected to add more veteran coaches to his staff, per Jones. Meanwhile, Jones suggests that executive VP of player personnel Eliot Wolf will be retained, and that he could make further changes to the club’s staff. That presumably includes firing Van Pelt.

Wolf will have the No. 1 overall pick at his disposal in the 2025 draft if the Patriots fall to Buffalo in today’s season finale, which would give the team a 3-14 record.

Giants’ GM Joe Schoen, HC Brian Daboll Not A “Package Deal”; Team Inclined To Retain Both?

January 5th, 2025 at 10:18am CST by Rory Parks

JANUARY 5, 2025: In keeping with the reports that Schoen and Daboll are not a “package deal,” FOX Sports’ Jordan Schultz says that the Giants have put out exploratory feelers to see what options might be available to them if they keep one but fire the other. However, Mike Florio of Pro Football Talk hears that both men will be retained, and sources that Jonathan Jones of CBS Sports has spoken to also believe that Schoen will keep his job. Those sources likewise feel it is more likely than not that Daboll is back in 2025, though that is less of a sure thing.

Both Florio and Jones note that Mara is unconvinced he could do better than Daboll if he were to go in a different direction. According to Ralph Vacchiano of FOX Sports, some believe that Mara will feel compelled to fire someone in light of how the 2024 season has gone, and Daboll would be the one to get the axe in that scenario (though Vacchiano also thinks Daboll will ultimately stay).

In any event, Mara and co-owner Steve Tisch will speak with Schoen and Daboll before making a decision, and the club may not make the final call on Black Monday. It could take another day or two before the GM and HC know their fates.

DECEMBER 29, 2024: Late last month, a report on the respective futures of Giants general manager Joe Schoen and head coach Brian Daboll indicated that both men were likely to retain their jobs for the 2025 season. However, our Sam Robinson noted at the time that owner John Mara’s history with such matters would suggest Schoen is safer than Daboll, and multiple outlets have confirmed that the GM and HC are not a “package deal.”

In other words, although Schoen and Daboll were both hired in January 2022 following their successful tenures with the Bills, Mara will evaluate them separately at the end of the season and is open to retaining one and firing the other, as Dianna Russini of The Athletic reports (subscription required). Per Russini, there are increased rumblings around the league that Daboll could receive his walking papers, while Schoen continues to believe his job is secure (just as he has throughout the year).

A source close to Mara did indicate that the owner – who said in October that he planned to give Schoen and Daboll another opportunity in 2025 – intends to stay true to his word. However, the fact that the Giants have not won a game since October 6 could obviously change things, and Russini says Mara will sit down with his top power brokers at season’s end, at which point he will presumably make his final decision.

Interestingly, Ian Rapoport and Tom Pelissero of NFL.com use the same terminology as Russini, noting that Schoen and Daboll are not a package deal and could be facing different fates in several weeks’ time. Like Russini, the NFL.com duo hears that Mara does not want to make a change, and that he believes his 2022 hirees remain highly capable.

While any GM or HC change qualifies as a watershed event in a club’s timeline, the Giants could soon be facing an especially critical moment. As a result of New York’s current 10-game losing streak, it is poised to secure the No. 1 overall selection of the 2025 draft and, by extension, a franchise signal-caller. Mara will have to determine, among other things, whether Schoen is the right person to make the pick and whether Daboll is the right person to develop whichever player is selected. Given how the last two campaigns have unfolded, those will not be easy questions to answer.

Should the Giants lose to the Colts today, they will have gone an entire season without a home victory for the first time since 1974 (h/t Pat Leonard of the New York Daily News). They are also on pace for their worst overall record since 1966, when they finished 1-12-1 (h/t Rapoport and Pelissero).

In a recent poll, the majority of PFR readership expected Mara to ultimately part ways with both Schoen and Daboll, while roughly 22% of voters expected both men to be retained. About 17% predicted Mara will keep Schoen and can Daboll, and a scenario wherein Schoen is fired but Daboll retained was viewed as the least likely.

Cowboys Not Looking At Other HC Candidates; Mike McCarthy In Play To Stay

January 5th, 2025 at 8:13am CST by Sam Robinson

JANUARY 5: Jonathan Jones of CBS Sports hears form “Dallas sources” that McCarthy will receive a new contract — perhaps a four-year pact as opposed to a five-year accord — to remain with the Cowboys. To be clear, no one is willing to confirm as much because no contract talks have taken place at this point. Still, with McCarthy reportedly a viable candidate for other jobs, Dallas brass may not want to let him get away, and McCarthy himself loves the Dallas area and prizes his relationship with Prescott.

JANUARY 3: McCarthy’s contract will expire Jan. 14, NFL.com’s Ian Rapoport and Tom Pelissero note. This would mean the Cowboys could block McCarthy from interviewing elsewhere between season’s end and that date. Reminding of the Cowboys’ two offseasons in which Garrett was on an expiring deal, the team will have barely week between season’s end and that expiration date to negotiate an extension without the threat of other teams looming.

While the Cowboys have not closed the door on McCarthy staying, Rapoport and Pelissero indicate no substantive extension talks have taken place. With teams not being able to meet in-person with candidates until after the divisional round, McCarthy would not run the risk of being frozen out of this coaching cycle by this contract timeline. He should be expected to draw HC interest elsewhere, Rapoport adds.

JANUARY 2: Coming off a 41-7 loss to an Eagles team missing Jalen Hurts, the Cowboys saw their late-season momentum blunted. Mike McCarthy‘s contract covers one more game, the team’s season-ender against Washington. Will that be it for him in Dallas?

The Cowboys took the highly unusual step of letting McCarthy coach out his contract, driving numerous headlines about his future and how the organization plans to replace him. But some buzz about McCarthy receiving a second Cowboys contract has surfaced in recent weeks. At least, no definitive indication the team will fire McCarthy has emerged.

[RELATED: Jones Does Not Believe McCarthy’s Contract Affected Season]

McCarthy and his assistants are on expiring deals, which would make for a cleaner transition. Waiting until season’s end to make a call, the Cowboys are not tipping their hand. They plan to meet with their fifth-year HC next week, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com notes. McCarthy’s contract makes this one of the stranger situations over the past several coaching carousels, however.

Because McCarthy will have coached throughout a five-year deal, he will be free to explore other opportunities. Teams could interview the former Super Bowl-winning leader immediately, as only coaches under contract would need to wait until divisional-round week. Some around the league believe McCarthy has a “small” chance to stay in Dallas, per Fowler. While that is not especially optimistic, it also represents an improvement based on where the embattled HC’s chances were when Dak Prescott sustained a season-ending injury. Prescott has since provided a strong endorsement for McCarthy.

Third-chance HCs are not too common anymore. No active coaches are on their third try, though we do not have to too far back to find leaders who match that description. Jon Gruden received two shots with the Raiders, with his Buccaneers stay sandwiched in between, while Pete Carroll wrapped a third NFL HC stint last season and John Fox did so within the past decade. The Jets also are interviewing Ron Rivera about what would be a third opportunity, while Rex Ryan may be in the mix for a third chance himself. McCarthy being an active coach would seemingly boost his chances here, even if he might not be the first choice anywhere.

A candidate pool not viewed as especially deep would work in McCarthy’s favor in Dallas and potentially elsewhere. The weak candidate crop will affect McCarthy’s future in Dallas, per Fowler, who adds the coach could look at Chicago soon. Some around the league view this the Bears’ opening as one that would appeal to McCarthy, who is now 61. This is not to definitively say the Bears would be interested, but a veteran offensive mind would stand to be intrigued by the Chicago opening due to Caleb Williams‘ presence.

While McCarthy is 7-9 this season, he is 49-34 in Dallas. Jerry Jones cited the wild-card letdown against the Packers last season as why McCarthy did not receive an extension on the back of his three straight 12-win seasons. That certainly could push McCarthy to explore other options, should any arise, but Jason Garrett‘s tenure also shows Jones has been willing to stick with an unpopular coach for an extended period. Garrett coached the Cowboys for 9 1/2 seasons. McCarthy will need another contract soon if Jones has designs on him staying for a sixth.

Jets To Interview Rex Ryan For HC Job

January 4th, 2025 at 11:02pm CST by Ben Levine

After publicly campaigning for an interview, Rex Ryan will officially meet with the Jets about their head coaching vacancy. According to NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport, Ryan is set to interview with the Jets about the job on Tuesday.

Ryan made a public pitch for the gig back in November, and he expressed optimism about his candidacy last week. While most reports were focused on Ryan’s desire for an interview, there was a growing, league-wide sentiment that the former Jets HC would get a legitimate shot at the job. Ryan’s wish will come true, and he’ll now have a chance to state his case to his former employer.

Ryan, of course, had a six-year stint as the Jets head coach more than a decade ago. During his first two years at the helm, Ryan helped guide the Jets to the AFC Championship Game, their most successful run since the late-1990s. The Jets peaked in 2010; they finished with 11 wins and beat their hated rival, the Patriots, in the Divisional Round before dropping the conference championship to the Steelers.

That season represents the Jets’ last playoff appearance. Ryan’s squads went 22-26 between 2011 and 2013 before bottoming out with a four-win showing. Despite locker room support, Ryan was let go following that 2014 campaign. He subsequently caught on with the Bills, but he didn’t even last two years in Buffalo. His squad went 8-8 in 2015, and after reportedly losing the locker room in 2016, Ryan was canned before that season concluded.

Since then, Ryan has served as an analyst on ESPN, but he’s still occasionally popped up in coaching searches. He was connected to the Cowboys defensive coordinator job just this past offseason, and he’s been connected to previous coordinator openings with the Broncos and Chiefs. However, his upcoming Jets interview marks his first head coaching opportunity since getting fired by the Bills.

Known for his big personality and his love for snacks, Ryan would certainly provide a different voice for a lost Jets locker room. After firing Robert Saleh following a 2-3 start to the season, interim head coach Jeff Ulbrich has only squeezed out two wins in 11 tries, and there have been recent reports that players have already quit on the 2024 iteration of the squad. That surely wouldn’t fly under Ryan, although it’d be interesting to see how the coach’s intense approach would resonate with another strong personality in Aaron Rodgers, who could still be under center for Gang Green in 2025.

Ryan will now meet with former Jets GM Mike Tannenbaum and former Vikings honcho Rick Spielman, who are running the organization’s search for a new HC and GM. Ryan and Tannenbaum already have a relationship, as the duo worked alongside each other during their respective stints with the Jets. Mike Vrabel and Ron Rivera have already interviewed for the Jets job, and Ulbrich is also expected to get a shot to retain his gig. The team has also been connected to Arthur Smith, so the Jets’ HC search certainly isn’t devoid of big names.

Saints Expected To Have Interest In Matt Nagy For HC Job

January 4th, 2025 at 10:43pm CST by Ben Levine

We heard previously that Matt Nagy should be in the mix for head coaching vacancies this offseason, and the Chiefs offensive coordinator is now being connected to definitive gigs. According to Dianna Russini of The Athletic, the Saints are expected to show interest in the veteran coach.

[RELATED: Chiefs OC Matt Nagy Could Be 2025 HC Candidate]

After starting his coaching career with the Eagles, Nagy made a name for himself while guiding the Alex Smith iteration of Kansas City’s offense. Nagy ended up spending two years as the Chiefs offensive coordinator (plus an additional three as QBs coach) before getting a shot at the top job in Chicago.

Nagy hit the ground running during his first year as the Bears head coach in 2018, helping guide the squad to a 12-4 record before losing to the Eagles by one point in the Wild Card Round. The coach followed that up with two-straight underwhelming 8-8 showings, and the Bears had another one-and-done playoff appearance during the 2020 postseason. The team somewhat bottomed out in 2021, with the Bears finishing 6-11. That performance ended up spelling the end of Nagy’s tenure in Chicago, as the coach was fired following that campaign.

After being let go by the Bears, Nagy returned to Kansas City. He initially served as Patrick Mahomes QBs coach in 2022, and he was promoted back to offensive coordinator after Eric Bieniemy left for Washington ahead of the 2023 season. Nagy hasn’t been responsible for calling plays during his time in Kansas City, a factor that could work against him as he searches for another HC gig.

The Saints fired Dennis Allen back in November and promoted Darren Rizzi to interim head coach. Per Russini, Rizzi is also expected to get a shot at the full-time job, and even if the team goes in another direction, the coach is expected to stick around New Orleans in some capacity. Rizzi has served as the team’s special teams coordinator since 2019. Russini also mentions Mike McCarthy as a potential candidate for the Saints job if the coach isn’t retained by the Cowboys.

Bucs S Jordan Whitehead Placed On NFI

January 4th, 2025 at 10:22pm CST by Ben Levine

As the Buccaneers push for one of the league’s final unresolved playoff spots, they’ll be without a key defender. The Buccaneers placed safety Jordan Whitehead on the reserve/non-football injury list today, per Rick Stroud of the Tampa Bay Times.

Per Stroud, Whitehead was involved in an automobile accident this morning. The veteran “suffered injuries significant enough” to warrant placement on NFI. Stroud notes that the player is okay but is still expected to miss multiple weeks, making it unlikely he’ll play again until the 2025 campaign. ESPN’s Jenna Laine reports that Whitehead’s accident occurred on his way to the facility this morning. He’s at the hospital undergoing tests, he’s alert, but he will miss some time.

Whitehead, a seventh-year veteran, has been a starter in the league ever since the early days of his rookie season after getting drafted by the Buccaneers in the fourth round in 2018 out of Pitt. Following four strong seasons on his rookie contract, in which he totaled five interceptions, 25 passes defensed, 22 tackles for loss, and two sacks, Whitehead signed a two-year $14.5MM deal with the Jets. After two more strong seasons as a starter in New York — six interceptions, 17 passes defensed, seven tackles for loss — Whitehead found his way back to Tampa Bay on a two-year, $9MM contract.

Whitehead has dealt with a couple minor injuries in the past, missing six games over his first four years with the Buccaneers. Following two completely healthy years with the Jets, Whitehead’s season will end with a career-low 12 games played in 2024. He’d recently worked his way back from a pectoral injury that landed him on injured reserve after four missed games, but today’s accident will put him back on an injured list to end the year.

In addition to Tampa Bay’s postseason push, this development comes as the Buccaneers are navigating a number of injuries to their safeties corps. Greg Auman of FOX Sports observes that the team will be without their top three safeties tomorrow Whitehead, Antoine Winfield Jr. and Christian Izien, leaving the team with Kaevon Merriweather, Mike Edwards, and Tykee Smith at the position (along with Tavierre Thomas as potential depth).

In a statement released by the team, it was announced that the team would sign practice squad safety Ryan Neal to the 53-man roster in light of Whitehead’s injury. Neal was elevated recently for one of the games Whitehead missed on IR, playing on special teams and sparingly on defense.

Ely Allen contributed to this post.

Injured Reserve Return Tracker

January 4th, 2025 at 10:20pm CST by Sam Robinson

This offseason brought a change in how teams could construct their 53-man rosters while retaining flexibility with injured players. Clubs were permitted to attach return designations to two players (in total) placed on IR or an NFI list before setting their initial rosters.

In prior years, anyone placed on IR before a team set its initial 53-man roster could not be activated in-season. All August 27 IR- or NFI-return designations, however, already count against teams’ regular-season limit of eight. This introduces more strategy for teams, who will be tasked with determining which players injured in-season will factor into activation puzzles as the year progresses.

All players designated for return on August 27 were eligible to be activated beginning in Week 5, though any player placed on IR after a team set its initial 53 has not been designated for return and therefore does not yet count toward a club’s eight-activation limit. Players who receive return designations after Week 5 also appear on this list.

This offseason also brought a second adjustment, with teams who qualify for the playoffs set to have two additional activations at their disposals. With the playoffs upon us, the two additional activations have been added to each team’s ledger. Here is how teams’ activation puzzles look going into the wild-card round:

Baltimore Ravens

Designated for return:

Eligible for activation:

Activated: 

Activations remaining: 4

Buffalo Bills

Designated for return from IR (August 27):

Activated

Activations remaining: 4

Denver Broncos

Designated for return:

Reverted to season-ending IR:

Activated: 

Activations remaining: 5

Detroit Lions

Designated for return:

Eligible for activation:

Activated:

Activations remaining: 3

Green Bay Packers

Eligible for activation:

Activated: 

Activations remaining: 7

Houston Texans

Designated for return:

Eligible for activation:

Activated:

Activations remaining: 3

Kansas City Chiefs

Designated for return:

Eligible for activation:

Activated:

Activations remaining: 5

Los Angeles Chargers

Activated:

Activations remaining: 0

Los Angeles Rams

Eligible for activation:

Reverted to season-ending IR:

Activated:

Activations remaining: 2

Minnesota Vikings

Designated for return from IR (August 27):

Designated for return:

Activated:

Activations remaining: 4

Philadelphia Eagles

Designated for return from IR (August 27):

Eligible for activation:

Activated:

Activations remaining: 4

Pittsburgh Steelers

Designated for return from IR (August 27):

  • OL Dylan Cook (waived Oct. 31)

Designated for return:

Eligible for activation:

Activated: 

Activations remaining: 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Designated for return: 

Eligible for activation:

Reverted to season-ending IR:

Activated: 

Activations remaining: 4

Washington Commanders

Designated for return:

Eligible for activation:

Activated:

Activations remaining: 4

Lions Activate Kalif Raymond, Alex Anzalone; Emmanuel Moseley Moved To NFI List

January 4th, 2025 at 10:18pm CST by Adam La Rose

The Lions will have reinforcements on both sides of the ball for tomorrow night’s pivotal game. Receiver Kalif Raymond and linebacker Alex Anzalone have both been activated from injured reserve, per a team announcement.

[RELATED: IR Return Tracker]

Raymond had been on injured reserve since November due to a foot injury, but he returned to practice last week. That opened his 21-day activation window, but of course bringing him onto the active roster in time for Week 18 required today’s transaction. Raymond will be in place to provide complimentary production in the passing game behind top wideouts Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams along with tight end Sam LaPorta. Detroit’s offense has remained much healthier than the team’s defense this year, but having additional depth at the receiver spot (not to mention the top punt return option) in time for the playoffs will be a welcomed development.

Getting Anzalone back will also be key as the Lions look to lock up the top seed in the NFC. The 30-year-old had his practice window opened on Wednesday, although questions remained about his ability to suit up for tomorrow’s game. Anzalone is listed as questionable for Sunday due to the broken forearm which induced his IR stint, but his ability to recover to the point of activation is a strong sign he will be in the lineup. If so, Detroit’s linebacking corps will see a starter return to the fold and the team’s defense as a whole will get a key presence back.

The news is not all positive for the Lions on the injury front, however. Cornerback Emmanuel Moseley has been placed on the reserve/non-football injury list. That designation requires at least a four-game absence, meaning he is all-but assured of missing the remainder of the campaign. Moseley’s debut Lions season (2023) ended with an ACL tear in Week 1, and the follow-up has not gone according to plan either. The pending free agent has been limited to only two games this year, something which will hurt his stock. Being without Moseley (who last played in Week 16) will be especially notable given the absence of fellow corner Carlton Davis.

The Lions have a long list of other players who could be in contention to be activated down the road, especially if they can manage a deep playoff run. Winning the NFC North and securing the first-round bye would be helpful in that regard, but losing to the Vikings in the NFL’s final regular season contest would drop Detroit to the No. 5 seed. In any case, adding to the list of healthy contributors will be key for the Lions.

Minor NFL Transactions: 1/4/25

January 4th, 2025 at 9:47pm CST by Ely Allen

The last minor moves and standard gameday elevations of the 2024 NFL regular season:

Arizona Cardinals

Atlanta Falcons

Buffalo Bills

Carolina Panthers

Cincinnati Bengals

Dallas Cowboys

Denver Broncos

Detroit Lions

Houston Texans

Jacksonville Jaguars

Kansas City Chiefs

Las Vegas Raiders

Los Angeles Chargers

Los Angeles Rams

Miami Dolphins

Minnesota Vikings

New England Patriots

New Orleans Saints

New York Giants

New York Jets

San Francisco 49ers

Seattle Seahawks

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tennessee Titans

Ross’ new deal to the Texans’ 53-man roster is good through the 2025 season, as well. Ditto for Jones, signed to the active roster in New England today.

Sanders returned to practice this week, and his activation will allow him to close out his second Panthers season on the field rather than on the mend. His Carolina tenure has fallen well short of expectations and a release in the near future could be in the cards. Given the team’s backfield injuries, though, Sanders could handle a notable workload tomorrow while potentially auditioning for free agent suitors.

Gilman’s return will be welcomed by the Chargers’ defense. The 27-year-old has remained a full-time starter this season, his second straight handling first-team duties. Los Angeles is assured of a wild-card spot, but moving up to the No. 5 seed in the AFC playoff picture could be possible on Sunday. In any case, Gilman’s presence will be key for a Bolts defense which leads the league in points allowed per game (17.6).

Gardner’s campaign will come to an end after 15 games played. He fell short of a Pro Bowl nod for this first time in his young career, but the fourth pick of the 2022 draft remained a critical member of the team’s secondary when healthy. Gardner is eligible for an extension this offseason, and his financial future (which will include a fifth-year option decision in the spring) will be a key point of focus once New York’s head coach/general manager tandem is in place.

Jaguars Not Certain To Fire Doug Pederson, Trent Baalke?

January 4th, 2025 at 8:10pm CST by Sam Robinson

JANUARY 4: It still remains to be seen if one or both members of the Pederson-Baalke pairing will be let go soon, but a change in the front office could be needed if Khan targets a notable coaching move. Schultz reports many around the league believe firing Baalke will be a requirement for the top HC candidates to consider the Jacksonville gig, provided it becomes available. The Jaguars will remain one of the teams worth watching closely once the regular season ends.

JANUARY 3: One of the NFL’s two active second-chance GMs has overseen one of the NFL’s most disappointing teams. After authorizing the three most lucrative extensions in Jaguars history (for Trevor Lawrence, Josh Hines-Allen and Tyson Campbell), Trent Baalke has seen the team tumble to a 4-12 record.

It would seem likely Doug Pederson is heading into his final game as Jags HC, based on the unraveling that has taken place since December 2023, but Shad Khan has not made any clear indications about which way he is leaning. Many around the NFL expect Pederson to be fired, per ESPN.com’s Jeremy Fowler, but the former Super Bowl-winning HC may have a sliver of hope to stay.

Pederson has been “projecting confidence,” according to some in the NFL, Fowler adds. With the Jags following back-to-back 9-8 seasons with a campaign that can max out at just five wins, it would be difficult to overstate how hot Pederson’s seat would be if Khan gave him another chance.

Then again, Khan kept Gus Bradley on for a fourth season after he had strung together three straight years with at least 11 losses. Doug Marrone also coached four full seasons, having finished with double-digit losses in three of those. By that standard, firing Pederson would represent a quick hook. Then again, more was expected from Lawrence-centered Pederson teams — especially over the past two seasons.

The longtime Jags owner said before the season this year’s team carried the most talented roster in franchise history. Even in the moment, that appeared to significantly underrate the franchise’s late-1990s rosters, but Khan making that comment only to see what has transpired points to Pederson being days away from an ouster. Baalke is undoubtedly on thin ice, too, though he has survived after being at risk of an in-season dismissal. Khan had projected confidence in his power duo, doing so around the same time John Mara professed support for his. Both the Jags and Giants have moved toward the No. 1 overall pick in the weeks since.

Promoted to GM during Urban Meyer‘s disastrous year in charge, Baalke was given the green light to hire Pederson in 2022. In mid-December, Fox Sports’ Jordan Schultz predicted the Jags would stay the course with Baalke. Considering Baalke has been in Jacksonville for both the franchise’s recent No. 1 overall picks — which featured a Travon Walker-over-Aidan Hutchinson call — it would be somewhat surprising if Khan did not clear the decks in hopes of hiring a new regime to better maximize his roster.

Most around the NFL expect Baalke to be canned, but Fowler adds some league personnel are pointing to the former 49ers GM’s resiliency in reminding not to assume this is a lock. Baalke memorably won a power struggle with Jim Harbaugh, leading the latter to Michigan after the 2014 season. The 49ers’ fortunes significantly worsened in the two years Baalke operated without Harbaugh, and the GM was fired after the ’16 campaign. This Jags effort has not provided the kind of bounce-back offering Khan hoped for when appointing Baalke to the GM post.

The relationship between Baalke and Pederson was believed to be strained as early as September, and a subsequent report had Baalke urging Pederson to fire OC Press Taylor — a Pederson lieutenant in Philadelphia and Jacksonville — after last season. Pederson kept Taylor on and continued with him calling plays. That decision has played a role in the Jags’ descent, though other factors — Lawrence’s injuries among them — have been part of this tumble as well. Will Sunday be it for Pederson and Baalke in Jacksonville or will one of them continue on without the other?

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